After a little break, the ichimoku weather backcast of week 40. Last week was skipped due to a business trip (and a catched cold). As usual the weather backcast contains the ichimoku analysis of 20 indices and futures. The linked charts contain all the details and neccessary context. Both charts and tables are generated automatically, at the moment the software is still work in progress. As such, I am not sure if it works 100% correctly, so if you see a mistake, would like to see an addition/change or simply give feedback: feel free to mail me at This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.Thanks a lot :)

Last week saw 19 STRONG signals generated, which a bias to long (7 short vs 12 long signals). Continuing the trend started a couple of weeks ago, the indices are back from the summer break with strong signals, complemented with signals generated by commodities. The table below shows all generated signals.

All STRONG signals of the 40th week, ordered by symbols:

+-----------+------------+--------------------+-------+-------------------+--------------+-------------+
| symbol    | date       | name               | type  | amp_info          | signal_quote | price_quote |
+-----------+------------+--------------------+-------+-------------------+--------------+-------------+
| BuFu      | 2016-10-03 | Kijun Cross        | short | Death X           |       165.49 |       165.4 |
| Cocoa     | 2016-10-06 | Kijun Cross        | short | Death X           |         2834 |        2787 |
| Cotton    | 2016-10-07 | Tenkan/Kijun Cross | short | Death X           |        68.81 |       66.97 |
| Cotton    | 2016-10-05 | Kijun Cross        | short | Death X           |       68.895 |       67.72 |
| DAX       | 2016-10-04 | Chikou Cross       | long  | 2016-08-26        |      10619.6 |     10587.8 |
| DAX       | 2016-10-04 | Kumo breakout      | long  | from rising Kumo  |      10619.6 |     10619.6 |
| EURSTOXX  | 2016-10-04 | Kijun Cross        | long  | Golden X          |      3012.29 |      3029.5 |
| EURSTOXX  | 2016-10-04 | Chikou Cross       | long  | 2016-08-29        |       3029.5 |      2998.5 |
| Gold      | 2016-10-04 | Tenkan/Kijun Cross | short | Death X           |      1305.38 |      1266.3 |
| HSeng     | 2016-10-03 | Kijun Cross        | long  | Golden X          |      23563.3 |     23584.4 |
| HSeng     | 2016-10-06 | Tenkan/Kijun Cross | long  | Golden X          |      23621.8 |     23952.5 |
| Nikkei    | 2016-10-03 | Kumo breakout      | long  | from rising Kumo  |      16598.7 |     16598.7 |
| Nikkei    | 2016-10-04 | Kijun Cross        | long  | Golden X          |      16720.9 |     16735.7 |
| OJuice    | 2016-10-04 | Kijun Cross        | long  | Golden X          |        199.6 |       202.2 |
| Palladium | 2016-10-06 | Kumo breakout      | short | from rising Kumo  |       669.05 |      669.05 |
| Silber    | 2016-10-03 | Kumo breakout      | short | from falling Kumo |       18.868 |      18.868 |
| SMI       | 2016-10-04 | Kumo breakout      | long  | from rising Kumo  |      8230.73 |     8230.73 |
| SMI       | 2016-10-04 | Kijun Cross        | long  | Golden X          |      8185.85 |     8230.73 |
| WTI       | 2016-10-03 | Tenkan/Kijun Cross | long  | Golden X          |       46.605 |       48.81 |
+-----------+------------+--------------------+-------+-------------------+--------------+-------------+

The gallery now contains the high contrast charts, for whatever reason I prefer those colors at the moment (autumn blues?). Hope the contrast won't make your eyes explode, if you hate it, feel free to drop a comment or a mail :)

  • BuFu_contrastBuFu_contrast
  • Cocoa_contrastCocoa_contrast
  • Coffee_contrastCoffee_contrast
  • Copper_contrastCopper_contrast
  • Cotton_contrastCotton_contrast
  • DAX_contrastDAX_contrast
  • DJTransp_contrastDJTransp_contrast
  • DOW_contrastDOW_contrast
  • EURSTOXX_contrastEURSTOXX_contrast
  • Gold_contrastGold_contrast
  • HSeng_contrastHSeng_contrast
  • Nikkei_contrastNikkei_contrast
  • OJuice_contrastOJuice_contrast
  • Palladium_contrastPalladium_contrast
  • SMI_contrastSMI_contrast
  • SP_contrastSP_contrast
  • Silber_contrastSilber_contrast
  • Soy_contrastSoy_contrast
  • Sugar_contrastSugar_contrast
  • WTI_contrastWTI_contrast

Simple Image Gallery Extended

Below as mentioned the list with the evaluation of the status quo using Ichimoku (usually each week occur a lot more additional weak and neutral signals, they are listed at the bottom in a separate table).

BuFu 2016-10-07 164.02
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2016-09-01 from 165.96 to 166.40 price 167.38
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2016-10-03 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short
2016-09-20 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) Short
2016-09-20 Senkou Cross (2016-10-25) Short
     
Cocoa 2016-10-07 2779.50
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2016-08-31 from 3021.25 to 3039.00 price 2905.00
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2016-10-06 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short
2016-09-01 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) Short
2016-08-29 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short
     
Coffee 2016-10-07 147.85
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2016-08-31 from 136.93 to 144.66 price 145.90
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2016-09-30 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long
2016-09-01 Senkou Cross (2016-10-09) Long
2016-08-30 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Long
     
Copper 2016-10-07 2.17
price in kumo --> sideways no trades
Chikou-Span at 2.17 in kumo or between kumo and price
Kumo on 2016-09-02 from 2.15 to 2.21 price 2.07
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2016-09-30 Senkou Cross (2016-11-06) Long
2016-09-28 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Long
2016-09-27 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Short
     
Cotton 2016-10-07 66.97
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend
Kumo on 2016-08-31 from 67.64 to 71.36 price 65.59
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2016-10-07 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) Short
2016-10-05 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short
2016-09-28 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short
     
DAX 2016-10-07 10490.90
price in kumo --> sideways no trades
Chikou-Span at 10490.90 in kumo or between kumo and price
Kumo on 2016-08-31 from 9789.65 to 9938.48 price 10592.70
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2016-10-04 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Long
2016-10-04 Chikou Cross (2016-08-26) Long
2016-09-22 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long
     
DJTransp 2016-10-07 8056.44
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2016-08-31 from 7538.75 to 7741.90 price 7878.69
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2016-09-29 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long
2016-09-27 Chikou Cross (2016-08-19) Long
2016-09-21 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long
     
DOW 2016-10-07 18240.10
price in kumo --> sideways no trades
Chikou-Span at 18240.10 in kumo or between kumo and price
Kumo on 2016-08-31 from 17842.60 to 18173.60 price 18400.90
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2016-09-12 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Long
2016-09-02 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long
2016-08-29 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long
     
EURSTOXX 2016-10-07 3002.56
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend
Kumo on 2016-09-01 from 2888.11 to 2915.48 price 3017.49
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2016-10-04 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long
2016-10-04 Chikou Cross (2016-08-29) Long
2016-09-30 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Long
     
Gold 2016-10-07 1258.75
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2016-09-04 from 1287.70 to 1338.83 price 1326.25
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2016-10-04 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) Short
2016-09-30 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Short
2016-09-23 Chikou Cross (2016-08-22) Long
     
HSeng 2016-10-07 23851.80
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2016-08-31 from 20856.40 to 21285.50 price 22976.90
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2016-10-06 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long
2016-10-03 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long
2016-09-27 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long
     
Nikkei 2016-10-07 16860.10
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2016-08-30 from 16029.50 to 16057.70 price 16725.40
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2016-10-04 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long
2016-10-03 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Long
2016-09-29 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Long
     
OJuice 2016-10-07 198.50
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2016-08-31 from 167.70 to 182.91 price 182.10
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2016-10-04 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long
2016-09-01 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Long
2016-08-29 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long
     
Palladium 2016-10-07 669.58
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend
Kumo on 2016-09-07 from 627.53 to 688.29 price 690.75
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2016-10-06 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Short
2016-09-28 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Long
2016-09-23 Chikou Cross (2016-08-24) Long
     
Silber 2016-10-07 17.55
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2016-09-07 from 19.08 to 20.15 price 19.85
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2016-10-03 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Short
2016-09-27 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Short
2016-09-27 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short
     
SMI 2016-10-07 8124.59
price in kumo --> sideways no trades
Chikou-Span at 8124.59 in kumo or between kumo and price
Kumo on 2016-09-01 from 7893.21 to 8006.86 price 8142.64
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2016-10-04 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Long
2016-10-04 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long
2016-09-28 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Long
     
Soy 2016-10-07 957.25
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend
Kumo on 2016-08-31 from 1067.34 to 1090.75 price 941.88
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2016-09-21 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short
2016-09-06 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) Short
2016-08-25 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short
     
S&P 2016-10-07 2153.74
price in kumo --> sideways no trades
Chikou-Span at 2153.74 in kumo or between kumo and price
Kumo on 2016-08-31 from 2083.66 to 2124.68 price 2170.95
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2016-09-22 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Long
2016-09-12 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long
2016-08-29 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long
     
Sugar 2016-10-07 23.39
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2016-08-31 from 18.70 to 19.74 price 20.06
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2016-09-16 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long
2016-09-15 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long
2016-09-02 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Long
     
WTI 2016-10-07 49.59
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2016-09-02 from 44.54 to 46.35 price 44.44
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2016-10-03 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long
2016-09-28 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long
2016-09-26 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Long
     

Last and least all 38 generated signals of the 40th week:

1 2016-10-03 BuFu Kijun Cross (Death X) STRONG Short price: 165.40
2 2016-10-06 Cocoa Kijun Cross (Death X) STRONG Short price: 2787.00
3 2016-10-05 Cocoa Kijun Cross (Golden X) weak Long price: 2836.00
4 2016-10-05 Coffee Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) weak Short price: 148.20
5 2016-10-03 Coffee Kijun Cross (Death X) weak Short price: 147.55
6 2016-10-05 Cotton Kijun Cross (Death X) STRONG Short price: 67.72
7 2016-10-04 Cotton Kijun Cross (Golden X) weak Long price: 69.66
8 2016-10-07 Cotton Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) STRONG Short price: 66.97
9 2016-10-04 DAX Chikou Cross (2016-08-26) STRONG Long price: 10587.80
10 2016-10-04 DAX Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) STRONG Long price: 10619.60
11 2016-10-03 DOW Kijun Cross (Death X) neutral Short price: 18253.80
12 2016-10-05 DOW Kijun Cross (Golden X) neutral Long price: 18281.00
13 2016-10-06 DOW Kijun Cross (Death X) neutral Short price: 18268.50
14 2016-10-04 EURSTOXX Kijun Cross (Golden X) STRONG Long price: 3029.50
15 2016-10-07 EURSTOXX Kijun Cross (Death X) weak Short price: 3002.56
16 2016-10-04 EURSTOXX Chikou Cross (2016-08-29) STRONG Long price: 2998.50
17 2016-10-04 Gold Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) STRONG Short price: 1266.30
18 2016-10-03 HSeng Kijun Cross (Golden X) STRONG Long price: 23584.40
19 2016-10-05 HSeng Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) weak Short price: 23788.30
20 2016-10-06 HSeng Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Golden X) STRONG Long price: 23952.50
21 2016-10-03 Nikkei Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) STRONG Long price: 16598.70
22 2016-10-04 Nikkei Kijun Cross (Golden X) STRONG Long price: 16735.70
23 2016-10-07 OJuice Kijun Cross (Death X) weak Short price: 198.50
24 2016-10-04 OJuice Kijun Cross (Golden X) STRONG Long price: 202.20
25 2016-10-03 OJuice Kijun Cross (Death X) weak Short price: 196.90
26 2016-10-05 Palladium Kijun Cross (Death X) neutral Short price: 680.40
27 2016-10-06 Palladium Chikou Cross (2016-09-06) weak Short price: 699.45
28 2016-10-06 Palladium Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) STRONG Short price: 669.05
29 2016-10-05 S&P Kijun Cross (Golden X) neutral Long price: 2159.73
30 2016-10-05 S&P Senkou Cross (2016-11-09) neutral Short price: 2159.73
31 2016-10-04 S&P Kijun Cross (Death X) neutral Short price: 2150.49
32 2016-10-03 Silber Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) neutral Short price: 18.87
33 2016-10-03 Silber Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) STRONG Short price: 18.87
34 2016-10-04 SMI Kijun Cross (Golden X) STRONG Long price: 8230.73
35 2016-10-04 SMI Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) STRONG Long price: 8230.73
36 2016-10-06 SMI Kijun Cross (Death X) weak Short price: 8170.44
37 2016-10-06 Soy Chikou Cross (2016-08-30) weak Long price: 949.38
38 2016-10-03 WTI Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Golden X) STRONG Long price: 48.81

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