I wish you the very same summer we have at the moment, beautiful sunny days with moderate temperatures!

As usual the "market weather backcast" contains the ichimoku analysis of 22 indices, futures and FOREX pairs. The linked charts contain all the details and neccessary context. Both charts and tables are generated automatically, at the moment the software is still work in progress. As such, I am not sure if it works 100% correctly, so if you see a mistake, would like to see an addition/change or simply give feedback: feel free to mail me at This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.Thanks a lot :)

Last two weeks triggerd 13 signals in 10 different markets (out of 22 in the investment universe):

If you would like to play around with the system that is used to generate the signals and charts on this blog, you can do so! The latest version of my software, ichinscratchy v0.3.0, was released in December 2017. It´s free & open source, you can find it under http://spare-time-trading.de/en/trading-system. Work on the next version (that will be a maintenance release) is progressing nicely. In fact I started using a development snapshot of the upcoming v0.4.0 to do this weekly analysis/overview as this part is already stable enough. You can check out the development activities at gitlab: https://gitlab.com/werwurm/ichi_reloaded.However, there is no release date yet. It´s done when it´s done...

Well well well...look who´s back. A lot of the major indices are back within uptrends, most of them by working their way through the cloud. Dow Jones lokks particularly strong, which is backed up by a good looking DJ Transportation average index. Currencies, at least the 2 pairs in my basket are of non-interest (from a trend following perspective) at the moment- looking like sideways movement within a big (EUR/JPY) or a small (EUR/USD) range. 
For Gold and Silver you can call "ECHOOO" into the abyss... will take a while until you hear something back :)
For all markets in the investment universe (especially for an intermarket analysis), as usual: check the charts and tables below!
 

All STRONG signals of the 30th week 2018, ordered by symbols:

+------------+----------+--------------------+-------+-------------------+--------------+
| date       | symbol   | name               | type  | amp_info          | price_quote  |
+------------+----------+--------------------+-------+-------------------+--------------+
| 2018-07-25 | BuFu     | Kijun Cross        | long  | Golden X          |   162.370000 |
| 2018-07-27 | Cocoa    | Tenkan/Kijun Cross | short | Death X           |  2219.500000 |
| 2018-07-26 | Coffee   | Kijun Cross        | short | Death X           |   109.550000 |
| 2018-07-27 | DAX      | Kumo Breakout      | long  | from rising Kumo  | 12860.400000 |
| 2018-07-25 | DAX      | Kumo Breakout      | short | from rising Kumo  | 12579.330000 |
| 2018-07-26 | DJTransp | Senkou Cross       | long  | 2018-08-31        | 10984.900000 |
| 2018-07-26 | DJTransp | Chikou Cross       | long  | 2018-06-19        | 10984.900000 |
| 2018-07-26 | HSI      | Kijun Cross        | short | Death X           | 28781.100000 |
| 2018-07-26 | N225     | Kumo Breakout      | long  | from rising Kumo  | 22586.900000 |
| 2018-07-25 | OJuice   | Kijun Cross        | long  | Golden X          |   164.800000 |
| 2018-07-26 | STOXX50E | Kumo Breakout      | long  | from falling Kumo |  3509.260000 |
| 2018-07-23 | STOXX50E | Kumo Breakout      | short | from rising Kumo  |  3454.050000 |
| 2018-07-24 | WTI      | Kumo Breakout      | long  | from falling Kumo |    68.520000 |
+------------+----------+--------------------+-------+-------------------+--------------+

Below is the gallery for the charts:

  • BuFu_lightBuFu_light
  • Cocoa_lightCocoa_light
  • Coffee_lightCoffee_light
  • Copper_lightCopper_light
  • Cotton_lightCotton_light
  • DAX_lightDAX_light
  • DJI_lightDJI_light
  • DJTransp_lightDJTransp_light
  • EURJPY_lightEURJPY_light
  • EURUSD_lightEURUSD_light
  • Gold_lightGold_light
  • HSI_lightHSI_light
  • N225_lightN225_light
  • OJuice_lightOJuice_light
  • Palladium_lightPalladium_light
  • SMI_lightSMI_light
  • SPX_lightSPX_light
  • STOXX50E_lightSTOXX50E_light
  • Silver_lightSilver_light
  • Soybeans_lightSoybeans_light
  • Sugar_lightSugar_light
  • WTI_lightWTI_light

Simple Image Gallery Extended

If you downloaded my software and wonder about the system settings, a quick overview for the most relevant ones used for this weekly overview:

  • Ichimoku time period settings are standard (9,26,52), only strong signals are shown.
  • ICHI_CHIKOU_CONFIRM = true (Chikou Span is used as confirmation/ filter for trend).
  • ICHI_KUMO_CONFIRM = false (Kumo breakouts have to be higher/lower than last reaction high/low to be valid)
  • SIGNAL_REGIME_FILTER = none (all market regime filters are off)
  • SIGNAL_EXECUTION_PYRAMID = full (use every signal even if it is already in portfolio)

Below as mentioned the list with the evaluation of the status quo using Ichimoku. The tables also list the last three Strong Ichimoku Signals.

Wish you relaxing Trading!

DAX 2018-07-27 12860.40
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-06-21 from 12380.42 to 12734.79 price 12511.91
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-07-27 Kumo Breakout (from rising Kumo) Long at 12860.40
2018-07-25 Kumo Breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 12579.33
2018-07-11 Kumo Breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 12417.13
     
DJI 2018-07-27 25451.94
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-06-20 from 24262.75 to 24396.84 price 24657.80
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-07-09 Kumo Breakout (from rising Kumo) Long at 24776.59
2018-07-09 Kijun Cross (from rising Kumo) Long at 24776.59
2018-06-25 Kumo Breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 24252.80
     
DJTransp 2018-07-27 10957.2
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-06-20 from 10437.7 to 10445.7 price 10872.9
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-07-26 Senkou Cross (2018-08-31) Long at 10984.9
2018-07-16 Kumo Breakout (2018-08-31) Short at 10435.5
2018-07-11 Kumo Breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 10442.5
     
HSI 2018-07-27 28804.3
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-06-20 from 30466.3 to 30748.4 price 29696.2
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-07-26 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 28781.1
2018-06-19 Senkou Cross (Death X) Short at 29468.2
2018-06-15 Kumo Breakout (from falling Kumo) Short at 30309.5
     
N225 2018-07-27 22712.8
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-06-20 from 21629.8 to 22409.3 price 22555.4
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-07-26 Kumo Breakout (from rising Kumo) Long at 22586.9
2018-07-05 Kumo Breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 21547.0
2018-06-12 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 22878.3
     
STOXX50E 2018-07-27 3529.08
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-06-21 from 3417.98 to 3521.07 price 3403.51
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-07-26 Kumo Breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 3509.26
2018-07-23 Kumo Breakout (from falling Kumo) Short at 3454.05
2018-07-18 Kumo Breakout (from rising Kumo) Long at 3485.08
     
SMI 2018-07-27 9173.2
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-06-21 from 8779.2 to 8888.0 price 8459.9
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-07-18 Senkou Cross (2018-08-23) Long at 8938.1
2018-07-12 Kumo Breakout (2018-08-23) Long at 8818.2
2018-07-09 Kumo Breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 8759.9
     
SPX 2018-07-27 2818.82
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-06-20 from 2668.36 to 2677.85 price 2767.32
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-07-12 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 2798.29
2018-07-06 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 2759.82
2018-07-05 Chikou Cross (2018-05-29) Long at 2736.61
     
BuFu 2018-07-27 162.13
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend
Kumo on 2018-06-21 from 158.53 to 158.63 price 162.15
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-07-25 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 162.37
2018-06-27 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 162.30
2018-06-21 Senkou Cross (2018-07-27) Long at 162.15
     
Cocoa 2018-07-27 2219.50
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-06-20 from 2567.75 to 2736.62 price 2557.00
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-07-27 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 2219.50
2018-06-22 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 2508.50
2018-07-18 Chikou Cross (2018-06-11) Short at 2335.50
     
Coffee 2018-07-27 110.220
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-06-20 from 118.885 to 119.398 price 113.650
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-07-26 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 109.550
2018-06-15 Senkou Cross (Death X) Short at 115.200
2018-06-15 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 115.200
     
Copper 2018-07-27 2.796
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-06-22 from 3.055 to 3.079 price 3.033
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-06-21 Senkou Cross (2018-07-26) Short at 3.025
2018-06-19 Kumo Breakout (2018-07-26) Short at 3.046
2018-06-05 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 3.191
     
Cotton 2018-07-27 88.3100
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend
Kumo on 2018-06-20 from 83.3550 to 85.2925 price 83.2800
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-07-20 Kumo Breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 87.1100
2018-07-02 Kumo Breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 82.9700
2018-06-22 Kumo Breakout (from rising Kumo) Long at 85.8100
     
Gold 2018-07-27 1222.200
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-06-22 from 1306.975 to 1327.300 price 1267.400
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-06-26 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 1256.600
2018-06-15 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 1274.600
2018-06-11 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 1298.900
     
OJuice 2018-07-27 163.8
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-06-20 from 153.3 to 159.1 price 156.9
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-07-25 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 164.8
2018-07-06 Chikou Cross (Golden X) Long at 168.4
2018-04-26 Senkou Cross (2018-06-04) Long at 152.1
     
Palladium 2018-07-27 920.3
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-06-22 from 969.5 to 973.6 price 946.4
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-06-25 Senkou Cross (2018-07-30) Short at 935.4
2018-06-19 Kumo Breakout (2018-07-30) Short at 960.3
2018-05-31 Kumo Breakout (from rising Kumo) Long at 981.7
     
Silver 2018-07-27 15.515
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-06-27 from 16.431 to 16.600 price 16.065
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-06-26 Senkou Cross (2018-07-26) Short at 16.275
2018-06-25 Kumo Breakout (2018-07-26) Short at 16.308
2018-06-19 Kumo Breakout (from falling Kumo) Short at 16.303
     
Soybeans 2018-07-27 870.2
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-06-21 from 1023.1 to 1026.4 price 881.8
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-06-06 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 995.5
2018-06-04 Senkou Cross (Death X) Short at 1002.2
2018-06-04 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 1002.2
     
Sugar 2018-07-27 10.88
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-06-20 from 11.53 to 12.24 price 11.89
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-07-10 Senkou Cross (2018-08-15) Short at 11.41
2018-07-02 Kumo Breakout (2018-08-15) Short at 11.56
2018-06-26 Kumo Breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 12.12
     
WTI 2018-07-27 69.020
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend
Kumo on 2018-06-22 from 66.995 to 70.733 price 68.580
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-07-24 Kumo Breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 68.520
2018-07-19 Kijun Cross (from falling Kumo) Long at 69.460
2018-06-29 Senkou Cross (2018-08-03) Long at 74.150
     
EURJPY 2018-07-27 129.460
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend
Kumo on 2018-06-27 from 129.633 to 130.175 price 127.390
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-07-05 Kumo Breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 129.330
2018-06-29 Kumo Breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 129.330
2018-06-29 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 129.330
     
EURUSD 2018-07-27 1.16580
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend
Kumo on 2018-06-21 from 1.19837 to 1.21200 price 1.16030
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-07-17 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 1.16610
2018-07-11 Kumo Breakout (Death X) Short at 1.16740
2018-07-11 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 1.16740
     

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