Moved into my new home, and back online- so I continue with the weekly Ichimoku overwiew.

As usual the weather backcast contains the ichimoku analysis of 22 indices, futures and FOREX pairs. The linked charts contain all the details and neccessary context. Both charts and tables are generated automatically, at the moment the software is still work in progress. As such, I am not sure if it works 100% correctly, so if you see a mistake, would like to see an addition/change or simply give feedback: feel free to mail me at This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.Thanks a lot :)

Last two weeks triggerd 21 signals in 12 different markets (out of 22 in the investment universe):

If you would like to play around with the system that is used to generate the signals and charts on this blog, you can do so! The latest version of my software, ichinscratchy v0.3.0, was released in December 2017. It´s free & open source, you can find it under http://spare-time-trading.de/en/trading-system. Work on the next version (that will be a maintenance release) is progressing nicely. In fact I started using a development snapshot of the upcoming v0.4.0 to do this weekly analysis/overview as this part is already stable enough. You can check out the development activities at gitlab: https://gitlab.com/werwurm/ichi_reloaded.However, there is no release date yet. It´s done when it´s done...

Most major indices are not within a trend by ichimoku definition, with the exceptions of S&P500 and Swiss SMI. EUR/JPY left it´s sideway range, EUR/USD didn't. Gold and Silver are continously trending down, as is Palladium. Euro Bund Future is within a solid uptrend since ~2 months. For all markets in the investment universe (especially for an intermarket analysis), as usual: check the charts and tables below!
 

All STRONG signals of the 28th week 2018, ordered by symbols:

+------------+----------+--------------------+-------+-------------------+--------------+ 
| date       | symbol   | name               | type  | amp_info          | price_quote  |
+------------+----------+--------------------+-------+-------------------+--------------+ 
| 2018-07-11 | DAX      | Kumo Breakout      | short | from rising Kumo  | 12417.130000 |
| 2018-07-09 | DJI      | Kijun Cross        | long  | Golden X          | 24776.590000 |
| 2018-07-09 | DJI      | Kumo Breakout      | long  | from rising Kumo  | 24776.590000 |
| 2018-07-12 | DJI      | Chikou Cross       | long  | 2018-06-05        | 24924.890000 |
| 2018-07-11 | DJTransp | Kumo Breakout      | short | from rising Kumo  | 10442.500000 |
| 2018-07-11 | EURUSD   | Kumo Breakout      | short | from falling Kumo |     1.167400 |
| 2018-07-11 | EURUSD   | Kijun Cross        | short | Death X           |     1.167400 |
| 2018-07-09 | SMI      | Kumo Breakout      | long  | from falling Kumo |  8759.900000 |
| 2018-07-12 | SMI      | Kumo Breakout      | long  | from falling Kumo |  8818.200000 |
| 2018-07-12 | SPX      | Tenkan/Kijun Cross | long  | Golden X          |  2798.290000 |
| 2018-07-11 | STOXX50E | Kijun Cross        | short | Death X           |  3422.350000 |
| 2018-07-11 | STOXX50E | Kumo Breakout      | short | from rising Kumo  |  3422.350000 |
| 2018-07-10 | Sugar    | Senkou Cross       | short | 2018-08-15        |    11.410000 |
+------------+----------+--------------------+-------+-------------------+--------------+

Signals of the 29th week:

+------------+----------+---------------+-------+------------------+--------------+
| date       | symbol   | name          | type  | amp_info         | price_quote  |
+------------+----------+---------------+-------+------------------+--------------+
| 2018-07-18 | Cocoa    | Chikou Cross  | short | 2018-06-11       |  2335.500000 |
| 2018-07-20 | Cotton   | Kumo Breakout | short | from rising Kumo |    87.110000 |
| 2018-07-16 | DJTransp | Kumo Breakout | short | from rising Kumo | 10435.500000 |
| 2018-07-17 | EURUSD   | Kijun Cross   | short | Death X          |     1.166100 |
| 2018-07-17 | N225     | Chikou Cross  | long  | 2018-06-08       | 22697.400000 |
| 2018-07-18 | SMI      | Senkou Cross  | long  | 2018-08-23       |  8938.100000 |
| 2018-07-18 | STOXX50E | Kumo Breakout | long  | from rising Kumo |  3485.080000 |
| 2018-07-19 | WTI      | Kijun Cross   | long  | Golden X         |    69.460000 |
+------------+----------+---------------+-------+------------------+--------------+

Below is the gallery for the charts:

  • BuFu_lightBuFu_light
  • Cocoa_lightCocoa_light
  • Coffee_lightCoffee_light
  • Copper_lightCopper_light
  • Cotton_lightCotton_light
  • DAX_lightDAX_light
  • DJI_lightDJI_light
  • DJTransp_lightDJTransp_light
  • EURJPY_lightEURJPY_light
  • EURUSD_lightEURUSD_light
  • Gold_lightGold_light
  • HSI_lightHSI_light
  • N225_lightN225_light
  • OJuice_lightOJuice_light
  • Palladium_lightPalladium_light
  • SMI_lightSMI_light
  • SPX_lightSPX_light
  • STOXX50E_lightSTOXX50E_light
  • Silver_lightSilver_light
  • Soybeans_lightSoybeans_light
  • Sugar_lightSugar_light
  • WTI_lightWTI_light

Simple Image Gallery Extended

If you downloaded my software and wonder about the system settings, a quick overview for the most relevant ones used for this weekly overview:

  • Ichimoku time period settings are standard (9,26,52), only strong signals are shown.
  • ICHI_CHIKOU_CONFIRM = true (Chikou Span is used as confirmation/ filter for trend).
  • ICHI_KUMO_CONFIRM = false (Kumo breakouts have to be higher/lower than last reaction high/low to be valid)
  • SIGNAL_REGIME_FILTER = none (all market regime filters are off)
  • SIGNAL_EXECUTION_PYRAMID = full (use every signal even if it is already in portfolio)

Below as mentioned the list with the evaluation of the status quo using Ichimoku. The tables also list the last three Strong Ichimoku Signals.

Wish you relaxing Trading!

DAX 2018-07-20 12561.42
price in kumo --> sideways no trades
Chikou-Span at 12527.04 in kumo or between kumo and price
Kumo on 2018-06-14 from 12343.83 to 12506.68 price 13107.10
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-07-11 Kumo Breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 12417.13
2018-06-25 Senkou Cross (from rising Kumo) Short at 12270.33
2018-06-25 Kumo Breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 12270.33
     
DJI 2018-07-20 25058.12
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend
Kumo on 2018-06-13 from 24058.26 to 24572.43 price 25201.20
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-07-09 Kumo Breakout (from rising Kumo) Long at 24776.59
2018-07-09 Kijun Cross (from rising Kumo) Long at 24776.59
2018-06-25 Kumo Breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 24252.80
     
DJTransp 2018-07-20 10741.5
price in kumo --> sideways no trades
Chikou-Span at 10523.8 in kumo or between kumo and price
Kumo on 2018-06-13 from 10393.4 to 10437.7 price 11003.2
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-07-16 Kumo Breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 10435.5
2018-07-11 Kumo Breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 10442.5
2018-07-06 Senkou Cross (2018-08-13) Short at 10473.9
     
HSI 2018-07-20 28224.5
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-06-12 from 30331.3 to 30748.4 price 31103.1
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-06-19 Senkou Cross (2018-07-26) Short at 29468.2
2018-06-15 Kumo Breakout (2018-07-26) Short at 30309.5
2018-06-08 Senkou Cross (2018-07-18) Long at 30958.2
     
N225 2018-07-20 22697.9
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend
Kumo on 2018-06-13 from 21457.8 to 22049.5 price 22966.4
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-07-05 Kumo Breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 21547.0
2018-06-12 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (from rising Kumo) Long at 22878.3
2018-07-17 Chikou Cross (2018-06-08) Long at 22697.4
     
STOXX50E 2018-07-20 3460.03
price in kumo --> sideways no trades
Chikou-Span at 3438.96 in kumo or between kumo and price
Kumo on 2018-06-14 from 3416.25 to 3486.34 price 3527.11
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-07-18 Kumo Breakout (from rising Kumo) Long at 3485.08
2018-07-11 Kumo Breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 3422.35
2018-07-11 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 3422.35
     
SMI 2018-07-20 8991.3
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-06-14 from 8779.2 to 8792.8 price 8690.8
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-07-18 Senkou Cross (2018-08-23) Long at 8938.1
2018-07-12 Kumo Breakout (2018-08-23) Long at 8818.2
2018-07-09 Kumo Breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 8759.9
     
SPX 2018-07-20 2801.83
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-06-13 from 2637.31 to 2677.85 price 2775.63
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-07-12 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 2798.29
2018-07-06 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 2759.82
2018-07-05 Chikou Cross (2018-05-29) Long at 2736.61
     
BuFu 2018-07-20 162.53
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-06-14 from 158.56 to 158.63 price 160.71
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-06-27 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 162.30
2018-06-21 Senkou Cross (Golden X) Long at 162.15
2018-06-15 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 161.16
     
Cocoa 2018-07-20 2331.50
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-06-13 from 2540.25 to 2756.38 price 2380.00
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-06-22 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 2508.50
2018-07-18 Chikou Cross (Death X) Short at 2335.50
2018-06-04 Kumo Breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 2341.00
     
Coffee 2018-07-20 110.650
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-06-13 from 118.885 to 119.622 price 116.350
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-06-15 Senkou Cross (2018-07-24) Short at 115.200
2018-06-15 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (2018-07-24) Short at 115.200
2018-06-07 Kumo Breakout (from falling Kumo) Short at 115.700
     
Copper 2018-07-20 2.746
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-06-17 from 3.059 to 3.066 price 3.141
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-06-21 Senkou Cross (2018-07-26) Short at 3.025
2018-06-19 Kumo Breakout (2018-07-26) Short at 3.046
2018-06-05 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 3.191
     
Cotton 2018-07-20 87.1100
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend
Kumo on 2018-06-13 from 83.3550 to 84.0925 price 93.7600
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-07-20 Kumo Breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 87.1100
2018-07-02 Kumo Breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 82.9700
2018-06-22 Kumo Breakout (from rising Kumo) Long at 85.8100
     
Gold 2018-07-20 1231.900
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-06-17 from 1312.425 to 1327.400 price 1283.600
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-06-26 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 1256.600
2018-06-15 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 1274.600
2018-06-11 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 1298.900
     
OJuice 2018-07-20 170.9
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-06-13 from 150.1 to 152.7 price 153.2
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-07-06 Chikou Cross (2018-05-30) Long at 168.4
2018-04-26 Senkou Cross (2018-05-30) Long at 152.1
2018-04-17 Kumo Breakout (from rising Kumo) Long at 145.6
     
Palladium 2018-07-20 888.9
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-06-17 from 969.5 to 986.2 price 984.2
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-06-25 Senkou Cross (2018-07-30) Short at 935.4
2018-06-19 Kumo Breakout (2018-07-30) Short at 960.3
2018-05-31 Kumo Breakout (from rising Kumo) Long at 981.7
     
Silver 2018-07-20 15.490
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-06-20 from 16.507 to 16.600 price 16.305
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-06-26 Senkou Cross (2018-07-27) Short at 16.275
2018-06-25 Kumo Breakout (2018-07-27) Short at 16.308
2018-06-19 Kumo Breakout (from falling Kumo) Short at 16.303
     
Soybeans 2018-07-20 850.2
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-06-13 from 1033.0 to 1037.8 price 934.2
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-06-06 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 995.5
2018-06-04 Senkou Cross (Death X) Short at 1002.2
2018-06-04 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 1002.2
     
Sugar 2018-07-20 11.12
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-06-13 from 11.45 to 12.24 price 12.51
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-07-10 Senkou Cross (2018-08-15) Short at 11.41
2018-07-02 Kumo Breakout (2018-08-15) Short at 11.56
2018-06-26 Kumo Breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 12.12
     
WTI 2018-07-20 70.460
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-06-14 from 66.015 to 69.152 price 66.890
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-07-19 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 69.460
2018-06-29 Senkou Cross (Golden X) Long at 74.150
2018-06-29 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 74.150
     
EURJPY 2018-07-20 130.570
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend
Kumo on 2018-06-20 from 130.865 to 131.230 price 127.700
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-07-05 Kumo Breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 129.330
2018-06-29 Kumo Breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 129.330
2018-06-29 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 129.330
     
EURUSD 2018-07-20 1.17200
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend
Kumo on 2018-06-14 from 1.20358 to 1.21500 price 1.15690
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-07-17 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 1.16610
2018-07-11 Kumo Breakout (Death X) Short at 1.16740
2018-07-11 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 1.16740
     

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