As usual the weather backcast contains the ichimoku analysis of 22 indices, futures and FOREX pairs. The linked charts contain all the details and neccessary context. Both charts and tables are generated automatically, at the moment the software is still work in progress. As such, I am not sure if it works 100% correctly, so if you see a mistake, would like to see an addition/change or simply give feedback: feel free to mail me at This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.Thanks a lot :)

Last week´s number of signals and markets is in general blends nicely into the numbers we see in this summer (and contrasts last years anemia): 18 signals in 12 different markets (out of 22 in the investment universe) were triggered during last week.

If you would like to play around with the system that is used to generate the signals and charts on this blog, you can do so! The latest version of my software, ichinscratchy v0.3.0, was released in December 2017. It´s free & open source, you can find it under http://spare-time-trading.de/en/trading-system. Work on the next version (that will be a maintenance release) is progressing nicely. In fact I started using a development snapshot of the upcoming v0.4.0 to do this weekly analysis/overview. You can check out the development activities at gitlab: https://gitlab.com/werwurm/ichi_reloaded.However, there is no release date yet. It´s done when it´s done...

Currently, not a single index (within the investment universe) is within a valid uptrend. European ones are even trending down, Dow Jones and DJ Transportation Average dito. Only S&P500 looks not that bad, for a valid uptrend it should have a couple of strong days moving above the levels it had at the end of May/beginning of June timeframe. Eurozone indices falling fit nicely with the Euro Bund Future moving up in the same timeframe.
Gold and Silver are also going down, Silver with a pretty sharp move. If I was trading those signals with real money (which I don't do at the moment due to the ongoing development of v0.4.0), I would consider of removing Silver from the investment universe. Too many huge moves, not enough trends...
At the moment I am also unsure about the currencies- they established a little sideways range during June, last week´s signals could be false ones: time will show.
At least Crude Oil looks pretty nice: a really strong move in the last 2 weeks brought the market back into an uptrend. Welcome back!
For all markets in the investment universe (especially for an intermarket analysis), as usual: check the charts and tables below!
 

All STRONG signals of the 26th week 2018, ordered by symbols:

+------------+-----------+--------------------+-------+-------------------+--------------+
| date       | symbol    | name               | type  | amp_info          | price_quote  |
+------------+-----------+--------------------+-------+-------------------+--------------+
| 2018-06-27 | BuFu      | Tenkan/Kijun Cross | long  | Golden X          |   162.300000 |
| 2018-06-25 | DAX       | Kumo Breakout      | short | from rising Kumo  | 12270.330000 |
| 2018-06-25 | DAX       | Senkou Cross       | short | 2018-07-31        | 12270.330000 |
| 2018-06-25 | DJI       | Kumo Breakout      | short | from rising Kumo  | 24252.800000 |
| 2018-06-27 | DJTransp  | Kumo Breakout      | short | from rising Kumo  | 10331.600000 |
| 2018-06-29 | EURJPY    | Tenkan/Kijun Cross | short | Death X           |   129.330000 |
| 2018-06-29 | EURJPY    | Kumo Breakout      | long  | from falling Kumo |   129.330000 |
| 2018-06-26 | EURUSD    | Kijun Cross        | short | Death X           |     1.164700 |
| 2018-06-27 | EURUSD    | Tenkan/Kijun Cross | short | Death X           |     1.155400 |
| 2018-06-26 | Gold      | Tenkan/Kijun Cross | short | Death X           |  1256.600000 |
| 2018-06-25 | Palladium | Senkou Cross       | short | 2018-07-31        |   935.400000 |
| 2018-06-26 | Silver    | Senkou Cross       | short | 2018-08-01        |    16.275000 |
| 2018-06-25 | Silver    | Kumo Breakout      | short | from falling Kumo |    16.308000 |
| 2018-06-25 | STOXX50E  | Kumo Breakout      | short | from rising Kumo  |  3369.210000 |
| 2018-06-26 | Sugar     | Kumo Breakout      | long  | from falling Kumo |    12.120000 |
| 2018-06-27 | WTI       | Kumo Breakout      | long  | from rising Kumo  |    72.760000 |
| 2018-06-29 | WTI       | Senkou Cross       | long  | 2018-08-06        |    74.150000 |
| 2018-06-29 | WTI       | Tenkan/Kijun Cross | long  | Golden X          |    74.150000 |
+------------+-----------+--------------------+-------+-------------------+--------------+

Below is the gallery for the charts:

  • BuFu_lightBuFu_light
  • Cocoa_lightCocoa_light
  • Coffee_lightCoffee_light
  • Copper_lightCopper_light
  • Cotton_lightCotton_light
  • DAX_lightDAX_light
  • DJI_lightDJI_light
  • DJTransp_lightDJTransp_light
  • EURJPY_lightEURJPY_light
  • EURUSD_lightEURUSD_light
  • Gold_lightGold_light
  • HSI_lightHSI_light
  • N225_lightN225_light
  • OJuice_lightOJuice_light
  • Palladium_lightPalladium_light
  • SMI_lightSMI_light
  • SPX_lightSPX_light
  • STOXX50E_lightSTOXX50E_light
  • Silver_lightSilver_light
  • Soybeans_lightSoybeans_light
  • Sugar_lightSugar_light
  • WTI_lightWTI_light

Simple Image Gallery Extended

If you downloaded my software and wonder about the system settings, a quick overview for the most relevant ones used for this weekly overview:

  • Ichimoku time period settings are standard (9,26,52), only strong signals are shown.
  • ICHI_CHIKOU_CONFIRM = true (Chikou Span is used as confirmation/ filter for trend).
  • ICHI_KUMO_CONFIRM = false (Kumo breakouts have to be higher/lower than last reaction high/low to be valid)
  • SIGNAL_REGIME_FILTER = none (all market regime filters are off)
  • SIGNAL_EXECUTION_PYRAMID = full (use every signal even if it is already in portfolio)

Below as mentioned the list with the evaluation of the status quo using Ichimoku. The tables also list the last three Strong Ichimoku Signals.

Wish you relaxing Trading!

DAX 2018-06-29 12306.00
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend
Kumo on 2018-05-24 from 12141.73 to 12514.02 price 12855.09
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-06-25 Senkou Cross (2018-07-31) Short at 12270.33
2018-06-25 Kumo Breakout (2018-07-31) Short at 12270.33
2018-06-15 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 13010.55
     
DJI 2018-06-29 24271.41
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-05-23 from 24347.71 to 24825.61 price 24886.81
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-06-25 Kumo Breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 24252.80
2018-06-01 Kumo Breakout (from rising Kumo) Long at 24635.21
2018-05-30 Kumo Breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 24667.78
     
DJTransp 2018-06-29 10345.0
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-05-23 from 10399.4 to 10403.0 price 10727.3
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-06-27 Kumo Breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 10331.6
2018-05-14 Senkou Cross (from rising Kumo) Long at 10663.2
2018-05-10 Kumo Breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 10605.8
     
HSI 2018-06-29 28955.1
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-05-23 from 30527.4 to 31306.7 price 30665.6
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-06-19 Senkou Cross (2018-07-25) Short at 29468.2
2018-06-15 Kumo Breakout (2018-07-25) Short at 30309.5
2018-06-08 Senkou Cross (2018-07-17) Long at 30958.2
     
N225 2018-06-29 22304.5
price in kumo --> sideways no trades
Chikou-Span at 23274.5 in kumo or between kumo and price
Kumo on 2018-05-24 from 21327.2 to 21964.7 price 22437.0
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-06-12 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 22878.3
2018-06-05 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 22539.5
2018-05-01 Kumo Breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 22508.0
     
STOXX50E 2018-06-29 3395.60
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-05-24 from 3412.87 to 3416.41 price 3521.76
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-06-25 Kumo Breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 3369.21
2018-06-21 Kumo Breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 3403.51
2018-04-26 Kumo Breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 3506.03
     
SMI 2018-06-29 8609.3
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-05-24 from 8703.6 to 9000.4 price 8770.9
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-05-31 Senkou Cross (2018-07-06) Short at 8457.0
2018-05-29 Kumo Breakout (2018-07-06) Short at 8637.2
2018-05-28 Chikou Cross (2018-04-17) Short at 8775.5
     
SPX 2018-06-29 2718.37
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend
Kumo on 2018-05-23 from 2663.83 to 2684.32 price 2733.29
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-05-17 Senkou Cross (2018-06-25) Long at 2720.13
2018-05-10 Kumo Breakout (2018-06-25) Long at 2723.07
2018-05-08 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 2671.92
     
BuFu 2018-06-29 162.55
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-05-24 from 158.63 to 158.74 price 160.22
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-06-27 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 162.30
2018-06-21 Senkou Cross (Golden X) Long at 162.15
2018-06-15 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 161.16
     
Cocoa 2018-06-29 2508.00
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend
Kumo on 2018-05-23 from 2356.50 to 2572.00 price 2615.50
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-06-22 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 2508.50
2018-06-04 Kumo Breakout (Death X) Short at 2341.00
2018-05-16 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 2726.50
     
Coffee 2018-06-29 111.500
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-05-23 from 116.895 to 118.725 price 119.470
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-06-15 Senkou Cross (2018-07-23) Short at 115.200
2018-06-15 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (2018-07-23) Short at 115.200
2018-06-07 Kumo Breakout (from falling Kumo) Short at 115.700
     
Copper 2018-06-29 2.951
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-05-29 from 3.086 to 3.095 price 3.052
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-06-21 Senkou Cross (2018-07-27) Short at 3.025
2018-06-19 Kumo Breakout (2018-07-27) Short at 3.046
2018-06-05 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 3.191
     
Cotton 2018-06-29 85.3800
price in kumo --> sideways no trades
Chikou-Span at 76.3100 in kumo or between kumo and price
Kumo on 2018-05-23 from 80.8500 to 81.9000 price 86.9400
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-06-22 Kumo Breakout (from rising Kumo) Long at 85.8100
2018-06-19 Kumo Breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 83.3300
2018-06-06 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 90.9600
     
Gold 2018-06-29 1251.300
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-05-29 from 1336.500 to 1339.950 price 1301.700
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-06-26 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 1256.600
2018-06-15 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 1274.600
2018-06-11 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 1298.900
     
OJuice 2018-06-29 159.6
price in kumo --> sideways no trades
Chikou-Span at 146.3 in kumo or between kumo and price
Kumo on 2018-05-23 from 140.7 to 143.3 price 168.6
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-04-26 Senkou Cross (2018-06-04) Long at 152.1
2018-04-17 Kumo Breakout (2018-06-04) Long at 145.6
2018-03-16 Senkou Cross (2018-04-24) Short at 138.3
     
Palladium 2018-06-29 950.9
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-05-29 from 974.3 to 984.7 price 971.0
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-06-25 Senkou Cross (2018-07-31) Short at 935.4
2018-06-19 Kumo Breakout (2018-07-31) Short at 960.3
2018-05-31 Kumo Breakout (from rising Kumo) Long at 981.7
     
Silver 2018-06-29 16.104
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-05-30 from 16.625 to 16.664 price 16.479
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-06-26 Senkou Cross (2018-08-01) Short at 16.275
2018-06-25 Kumo Breakout (2018-08-01) Short at 16.308
2018-06-19 Kumo Breakout (from falling Kumo) Short at 16.303
     
Soybeans 2018-06-29 862.8
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-05-24 from 1031.1 to 1036.4 price 1035.8
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-06-06 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 995.5
2018-06-04 Senkou Cross (Death X) Short at 1002.2
2018-06-04 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 1002.2
     
Sugar 2018-06-29 11.86
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend
Kumo on 2018-05-23 from 12.17 to 12.84 price 12.34
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-06-26 Kumo Breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 12.12
2018-06-08 Kumo Breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 12.25
2018-06-08 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 12.25
     
WTI 2018-06-29 74.150
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-05-28 from 64.755 to 66.622 price 67.050
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-06-29 Senkou Cross (2018-08-06) Long at 74.150
2018-06-29 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (2018-08-06) Long at 74.150
2018-06-27 Kumo Breakout (from rising Kumo) Long at 72.760
     
EURJPY 2018-06-29 129.330
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend
Kumo on 2018-05-30 from 131.375 to 132.003 price 127.020
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-06-29 Kumo Breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 129.330
2018-06-29 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (from falling Kumo) Short at 129.330
2018-06-19 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 127.550
     
EURUSD 2018-06-29 1.16850
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-05-24 from 1.23155 to 1.23217 price 1.17200
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-06-27 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 1.15540
2018-06-26 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 1.16470
2018-06-14 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 1.15690
     

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