As usual the weather backcast contains the ichimoku analysis of 22 indices, futures and FOREX pairs. The linked charts contain all the details and neccessary context. Both charts and tables are generated automatically, at the moment the software is still work in progress. As such, I am not sure if it works 100% correctly, so if you see a mistake, would like to see an addition/change or simply give feedback: feel free to mail me at This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.Thanks a lot :)

Last week was a bit quieter than the past ones- 10 signals in 5 different markets (out of 22 in the investment universe) were created:

If you would like to play around with the system that is used to generate the signals and charts on this blog, you can do so! The latest version of my software, ichinscratchy v0.3.0, was released in December 2017. It´s free & open source, you can find it under http://spare-time-trading.de/en/trading-system. Work on the next version (that will be a maintenance release) is progressing nicely. In fact I started using a development snapshot of the upcoming v0.4.0 to do this weekly analysis/overview. You can check out the development activities at gitlab: https://gitlab.com/werwurm/ichi_reloaded.However, there is no release date yet. It´s done when it´s done...

Again I am pretty busy, so I have keep this weeks analysis short. Euro Bund Future saw a massive move this week, bringing this market into an uptrend. DAX and EUROSTOXX had a sharp correction from wednesday on, but are still within an intact uptrend. US indices on the other hand are not so clear... technically SPX is also within an uptrend, but it looks not very strong at the moment- compare to DJI, which is not within an uptrend (thanks to the missing confirmation of Chikou Span).
No doubts about EUR/JPY and EUR/USD though...both are within a massive downtrend with still big momentum.
Short look at the futures markets: Cocoa Futures broke their uptrend, Cotton Futures are still continously moving upwards. WTI had a massive correction this week, whether this will be a break of the uptrend remains to be  seen. 
For all markets in the investment universe (especially for an intermarket analysis), as usual: check the charts and tables below!

All STRONG signals of the 21st week 2018, ordered by symbols:

+------------+----------+---------------+-------+-------------------+--------------+
| date       | symbol   | name          | type  | amp_info          | price_quote  |
+------------+----------+---------------+-------+-------------------+--------------+
| 2018-05-21 | BuFu     | Kumo Breakout | long  | from rising Kumo  |   159.390000 |
| 2018-05-21 | BuFu     | Senkou Cross  | long  | 2018-06-26        |   159.390000 |
| 2018-05-22 | Coffee   | Kumo Breakout | long  | from falling Kumo |   120.830000 |
| 2018-05-25 | Copper   | Kumo Breakout | short | from falling Kumo |     3.077000 |
| 2018-05-23 | Copper   | Kumo Breakout | short | from falling Kumo |     3.071000 |
| 2018-05-23 | Copper   | Kijun Cross   | short | Death X           |     3.071000 |
| 2018-05-23 | DJI      | Kumo Breakout | long  | from falling Kumo | 24886.810000 |
| 2018-05-21 | DJI      | Kumo Breakout | long  | from falling Kumo | 25013.290000 |
| 2018-05-23 | Soybeans | Kumo Breakout | long  | from rising Kumo  |  1039.200000 |
| 2018-05-25 | Soybeans | Kumo Breakout | long  | from rising Kumo  |  1042.000000 |
+------------+----------+---------------+-------+-------------------+--------------+
Below is the gallery for the charts:

  • BuFu_lightBuFu_light
  • Cocoa_lightCocoa_light
  • Coffee_lightCoffee_light
  • Copper_lightCopper_light
  • Cotton_lightCotton_light
  • DAX_lightDAX_light
  • DJI_lightDJI_light
  • DJTransp_lightDJTransp_light
  • EURJPY_lightEURJPY_light
  • EURUSD_lightEURUSD_light
  • Gold_lightGold_light
  • HSI_lightHSI_light
  • N225_lightN225_light
  • OJuice_lightOJuice_light
  • Palladium_lightPalladium_light
  • SMI_lightSMI_light
  • SPX_lightSPX_light
  • STOXX50E_lightSTOXX50E_light
  • Silver_lightSilver_light
  • Soybeans_lightSoybeans_light
  • Sugar_lightSugar_light
  • WTI_lightWTI_light

Simple Image Gallery Extended

If you downloaded my software and wonder about the system settings, a quick overview for the most relevant ones used for this weekly overview:

  • Ichimoku time period settings are standard (9,26,52), only strong signals are shown.
  • ICHI_CHIKOU_CONFIRM = true (Chikou Span is used as confirmation/ filter for trend).
  • ICHI_KUMO_CONFIRM = false (Kumo breakouts have to be higher/lower than last reaction high/low to be valid)
  • SIGNAL_REGIME_FILTER = none (all market regime filters are off)
  • SIGNAL_EXECUTION_PYRAMID = full (use every signal even if it is already in portfolio)

Below as mentioned the list with the evaluation of the status quo using Ichimoku. The tables also list the last three Strong Ichimoku Signals.

Wish you relaxing Trading!

DAX 2018-05-25 12938.01
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-04-17 from 12391.21 to 12713.94 price 12585.57
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-05-04 Kumo Breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 12819.60
2018-05-02 Kumo Breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 12802.25
2018-03-23 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 11886.31
     
DJI 2018-05-25 24751.23
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend
Kumo on 2018-04-19 from 24706.89 to 24988.50 price 24664.89
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-05-23 Kumo Breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 24886.81
2018-05-21 Kumo Breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 25013.29
2018-04-24 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 24024.13
     
DJTransp 2018-05-25 10900.1
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-04-19 from 10407.1 to 10615.4 price 10671.8
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-05-14 Senkou Cross (2018-06-19) Long at 10663.2
2018-05-10 Kumo Breakout (2018-06-19) Long at 10605.8
2018-04-26 Kumo Breakout (from falling Kumo) Short at 10413.9
     
HSI 2018-05-25 30588.0
price in kumo --> sideways no trades
Chikou-Span at 29578.0 in kumo or between kumo and price
Kumo on 2018-04-17 from 31066.2 to 31306.7 price 30062.8
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-05-14 Kumo Breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 31541.1
2018-05-04 Kijun Cross (from falling Kumo) Short at 29926.5
2018-05-02 Senkou Cross (2018-06-08) Short at 30723.9
     
N225 2018-05-25 22450.8
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend
Kumo on 2018-04-16 from 21967.3 to 22533.3 price 21835.5
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-05-01 Kumo Breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 22508.0
2018-04-02 Kijun Cross (from falling Kumo) Short at 21388.6
2018-03-23 Chikou Cross (2018-02-14) Short at 20617.9
     
STOXX50E 2018-05-25 3514.36
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-04-19 from 3399.03 to 3496.94 price 3486.60
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-04-26 Kumo Breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 3506.03
2018-04-23 Kumo Breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 3513.06
2018-03-22 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 3348.19
     
SMI 2018-05-25 8759.1
price in kumo --> sideways no trades
Chikou-Span at 9430.4 in kumo or between kumo and price
Kumo on 2018-04-16 from 8933.4 to 9114.7 price 8726.5
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-04-16 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 8726.5
2018-03-22 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 8637.9
2018-03-22 Chikou Cross (2018-02-14) Short at 8637.9
     
SPX 2018-05-25 2721.33
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-04-19 from 2695.95 to 2702.78 price 2693.13
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-05-17 Senkou Cross (2018-06-22) Long at 2720.13
2018-05-10 Kumo Breakout (2018-06-22) Long at 2723.07
2018-05-08 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 2671.92
     
BuFu 2018-05-25 161.17
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-04-18 from 158.63 to 159.62 price 159.05
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-05-21 Senkou Cross (2018-06-26) Long at 159.39
2018-05-21 Kumo Breakout (2018-06-26) Long at 159.39
2018-05-15 Senkou Cross (2018-06-20) Short at 157.76
     
Cocoa 2018-05-25 2561.50
price in kumo --> sideways no trades
Chikou-Span at 1942.50 in kumo or between kumo and price
Kumo on 2018-04-19 from 2200.75 to 2328.75 price 2804.00
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-05-16 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 2726.50
2018-04-20 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 2729.00
2018-04-11 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 2539.00
     
Coffee 2018-05-25 120.580
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend
Kumo on 2018-04-19 from 120.270 to 123.925 price 114.250
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-05-22 Kumo Breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 120.830
2018-05-17 Senkou Cross (from falling Kumo) Short at 113.850
2018-05-17 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 113.850
     
Copper 2018-05-25 3.077
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-04-23 from 3.125 to 3.156 price 3.108
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-05-25 Kumo Breakout (from falling Kumo) Short at 3.077
2018-05-23 Kumo Breakout (from falling Kumo) Short at 3.071
2018-05-23 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 3.071
     
Cotton 2018-05-25 89.3600
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-04-19 from 80.8500 to 82.2450 price 82.8900
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-05-17 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 84.9400
2018-04-25 Kumo Breakout (Golden X) Long at 83.8900
2018-04-25 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 83.8900
     
Gold 2018-05-25 1301.200
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-04-23 from 1326.475 to 1337.050 price 1322.500
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-04-30 Senkou Cross (2018-06-04) Short at 1316.200
2018-04-25 Kumo Breakout (2018-06-04) Short at 1321.200
2018-04-09 Kumo Breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 1340.100
     
OJuice 2018-05-25 169.2
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-04-19 from 142.0 to 142.4 price 143.1
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-04-26 Senkou Cross (2018-06-01) Long at 152.1
2018-04-17 Kumo Breakout (2018-06-01) Long at 145.6
2018-03-16 Senkou Cross (2018-04-24) Short at 138.3
     
Palladium 2018-05-25 975.1
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend
Kumo on 2018-04-25 from 994.8 to 1031.5 price 968.7
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-05-18 Kumo Breakout (from falling Kumo) Short at 961.0
2018-05-10 Kumo Breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 992.8
2018-05-10 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 992.8
     
Silver 2018-05-25 16.520
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend
Kumo on 2018-04-25 from 16.391 to 16.877 price 16.486
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-05-15 Kumo Breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 16.194
2018-05-10 Kumo Breakout (from rising Kumo) Long at 16.680
2018-05-10 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 16.680
     
Soybeans 2018-05-25 1042.0
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend
Kumo on 2018-04-23 from 1013.5 to 1044.2 price 1020.8
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-05-25 Kumo Breakout (from rising Kumo) Long at 1042.0
2018-05-23 Kumo Breakout (from rising Kumo) Long at 1039.2
2018-05-16 Senkou Cross (2018-06-20) Short at 1000.8
     
Sugar 2018-05-25 12.44
price in kumo --> sideways no trades
Chikou-Span at 15.33 in kumo or between kumo and price
Kumo on 2018-04-19 from 13.23 to 13.95 price 11.75
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-05-04 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 11.51
2018-02-27 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 13.01
2018-02-27 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 13.01
     
WTI 2018-05-25 67.480
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend
Kumo on 2018-04-23 from 61.710 to 62.365 price 68.640
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-04-09 Kumo Breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 63.420
2018-04-09 Kijun Cross (from falling Kumo) Long at 63.420
2018-04-06 Kumo Breakout (from falling Kumo) Short at 62.060
     
EURJPY 2018-05-25 127.430
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-04-19 from 131.753 to 133.435 price 132.570
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-05-14 Kumo Breakout (from falling Kumo) Short at 130.790
2018-05-09 Senkou Cross (from falling Kumo) Short at 130.050
2018-05-04 Kumo Breakout (from falling Kumo) Short at 130.510
     
EURUSD 2018-05-25 1.16500
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-04-24 from 1.23073 to 1.23550 price 1.22320
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-04-24 Senkou Cross (2018-05-25) Short at 1.22320
2018-04-22 Kumo Breakout (2018-05-25) Short at 1.22740
2018-04-19 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 1.23460
     

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