As usual the weather backcast contains the ichimoku analysis of 22 indices, futures and FOREX pairs. The linked charts contain all the details and neccessary context. Both charts and tables are generated automatically, at the moment the software is still work in progress. As such, I am not sure if it works 100% correctly, so if you see a mistake, would like to see an addition/change or simply give feedback: feel free to mail me at This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.Thanks a lot :)

Again a somewhat busy week, despite "sell in May"- 17 signals in 12 different markets (out of 22 in the investment universe) were triggered:

If you would like to play around with the system that is used to generate the signals and charts on this blog, you can do so! The latest version of my software, ichinscratchy v0.3.0, was released in December 2017. It´s free & open source, you can find it under http://spare-time-trading.de/en/trading-system. Work on the next version (that will be a maintenance release) is progressing nicely. In fact I started using a development snapshot of the upcoming v0.4.0 to do this weekly analysis/overview. You can check out the development activities at gitlab: https://gitlab.com/werwurm/ichi_reloaded.However, there is no release date yet. It´s done when it´s done...

No big changes compared to last week, so I´ll keep this short: Eurozone still doing well, US indices seem to be unsure. EUR/USD in free fall, Gold trending downwards. For all markets in the investment universe (especially for an intermarket analysis), as usual: check the charts and tables below!

All STRONG signals of the 20th week 2018, ordered by symbols:

+------------+-----------+--------------------+-------+-------------------+--------------+
| date       | symbol    | name               | type  | amp_info          | price_quote  |
+------------+-----------+--------------------+-------+-------------------+--------------+
| 2018-05-14 | BuFu      | Kijun Cross        | short | Death X           |   158.140000 |
| 2018-05-14 | BuFu      | Kumo Breakout      | short | from falling Kumo |   158.140000 |
| 2018-05-15 | BuFu      | Senkou Cross       | short | 2018-06-20        |   157.760000 |
| 2018-05-15 | BuFu      | Tenkan/Kijun Cross | short | Death X           |   157.760000 |
| 2018-05-16 | Cocoa     | Kijun Cross        | long  | Golden X          |  2726.500000 |
| 2018-05-17 | Coffee    | Tenkan/Kijun Cross | short | Death X           |   117.970000 |
| 2018-05-17 | Coffee    | Senkou Cross       | short | 2018-06-22        |   117.970000 |
| 2018-05-15 | Coffee    | Chikou Cross       | short | 2018-04-09        |   112.900000 |
| 2018-05-15 | Copper    | Kumo Breakout      | short | from falling Kumo |     3.042000 |
| 2018-05-17 | Cotton    | Kijun Cross        | long  | Golden X          |    84.940000 |
| 2018-05-14 | DJTransp  | Senkou Cross       | long  | 2018-06-19        | 10663.200000 |
| 2018-05-14 | EURJPY    | Kumo Breakout      | short | from falling Kumo |   130.790000 |
| 2018-05-14 | HSI       | Kumo Breakout      | long  | from falling Kumo | 31541.100000 |
| 2018-05-18 | Palladium | Kumo Breakout      | short | from falling Kumo |   961.000000 |
| 2018-05-15 | Silver    | Kumo Breakout      | short | from rising Kumo  |    16.194000 |
| 2018-05-16 | Soybeans  | Senkou Cross       | short | 2018-06-21        |  1000.800000 |
| 2018-05-17 | SPX       | Senkou Cross       | long  | 2018-06-22        |  2720.130000 |
+------------+-----------+--------------------+-------+-------------------+--------------+

Below is the gallery for the charts:

  • BuFu_lightBuFu_light
  • Cocoa_lightCocoa_light
  • Coffee_lightCoffee_light
  • Copper_lightCopper_light
  • Cotton_lightCotton_light
  • DAX_lightDAX_light
  • DJI_lightDJI_light
  • DJTransp_lightDJTransp_light
  • EURJPY_lightEURJPY_light
  • EURUSD_lightEURUSD_light
  • Gold_lightGold_light
  • HSI_lightHSI_light
  • N225_lightN225_light
  • OJuice_lightOJuice_light
  • Palladium_lightPalladium_light
  • SMI_lightSMI_light
  • SPX_lightSPX_light
  • STOXX50E_lightSTOXX50E_light
  • Silver_lightSilver_light
  • Soybeans_lightSoybeans_light
  • Sugar_lightSugar_light
  • WTI_lightWTI_light

Simple Image Gallery Extended

If you downloaded my software and wonder about the system settings, a quick overview for the most relevant ones used for this weekly overview:

  • Ichimoku time period settings are standard (9,26,52), only strong signals are shown.
  • ICHI_CHIKOU_CONFIRM = true (Chikou Span is used as confirmation/ filter for trend).
  • ICHI_KUMO_CONFIRM = false (Kumo breakouts have to be higher/lower than last reaction high/low to be valid)
  • SIGNAL_REGIME_FILTER = none (all market regime filters are off)
  • SIGNAL_EXECUTION_PYRAMID = full (use every signal even if it is already in portfolio)

Below as mentioned the list with the evaluation of the status quo using Ichimoku. The tables also list the last three Strong Ichimoku Signals.

Wish you relaxing Trading!

DAX 2018-05-18 13077.72
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-04-11 from 12431.70 to 12737.28 price 12293.97
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-05-04 Kumo Breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 12819.60
2018-05-02 Kumo Breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 12802.25
2018-03-23 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 11886.31
     
DJI 2018-05-18 24716.60
price in kumo --> sideways no trades
Chikou-Span at 24754.06 in kumo or between kumo and price
Kumo on 2018-04-12 from 24988.50 to 24996.82 price 24483.05
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-04-24 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 24024.13
2018-04-13 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 24360.14
2018-04-11 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 24189.45
     
DJTransp 2018-05-18 10730.5
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-04-12 from 10495.8 to 10615.4 price 10360.4
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-05-14 Senkou Cross (2018-06-19) Long at 10663.2
2018-05-10 Kumo Breakout (2018-06-19) Long at 10605.8
2018-04-26 Kumo Breakout (from falling Kumo) Short at 10413.9
     
HSI 2018-05-18 31047.9
price in kumo --> sideways no trades
Chikou-Span at 29050.4 in kumo or between kumo and price
Kumo on 2018-04-11 from 31095.8 to 31216.5 price 30897.7
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-05-14 Kumo Breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 31541.1
2018-05-04 Kijun Cross (from falling Kumo) Short at 29926.5
2018-05-02 Senkou Cross (2018-06-07) Short at 30723.9
     
N225 2018-05-18 22930.4
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-04-09 from 22288.0 to 22539.7 price 21678.3
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-05-01 Kumo Breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 22508.0
2018-04-02 Kijun Cross (from falling Kumo) Short at 21388.6
2018-03-23 Chikou Cross (2018-02-14) Short at 20617.9
     
STOXX50E 2018-05-18 3572.32
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-04-12 from 3435.83 to 3496.94 price 3443.97
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-04-26 Kumo Breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 3506.03
2018-04-23 Kumo Breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 3513.06
2018-03-22 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 3348.19
     
SMI 2018-05-18 8940.5
price in kumo --> sideways no trades
Chikou-Span at 9399.2 in kumo or between kumo and price
Kumo on 2018-04-10 from 9016.0 to 9140.2 price 8755.6
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-04-16 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 8726.5
2018-03-22 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 8637.9
2018-03-22 Chikou Cross (2018-02-14) Short at 8637.9
     
SPX 2018-05-18 2712.97
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-04-12 from 2702.78 to 2709.94 price 2663.99
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-05-17 Senkou Cross (2018-06-22) Long at 2720.13
2018-05-10 Kumo Breakout (2018-06-22) Long at 2723.07
2018-05-08 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 2671.92
     
BuFu 2018-05-18 158.80
price in kumo --> sideways no trades
Chikou-Span below kumo at 161.71
Kumo on 2018-04-11 from 158.93 to 160.42 price 159.50
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-05-15 Senkou Cross (2018-06-20) Short at 157.76
2018-05-15 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (2018-06-20) Short at 157.76
2018-05-14 Kumo Breakout (from falling Kumo) Short at 158.14
     
Cocoa 2018-05-18 2671.50
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-04-12 from 2137.50 to 2254.00 price 2538.00
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-05-16 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 2726.50
2018-04-20 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 2729.00
2018-04-11 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 2539.00
     
Coffee 2018-05-18 118.120
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend
Kumo on 2018-04-12 from 120.450 to 123.925 price 117.900
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-05-17 Senkou Cross (2018-06-22) Short at 117.970
2018-05-17 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (2018-06-22) Short at 117.970
2018-05-11 Kumo Breakout (from falling Kumo) Short at 115.250
     
Copper 2018-05-18 3.062
price in kumo --> sideways no trades
Chikou-Span below kumo at 3.213
Kumo on 2018-04-16 from 3.130 to 3.156 price 3.091
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-05-15 Kumo Breakout (from falling Kumo) Short at 3.042
2018-04-24 Kumo Breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 3.139
2018-04-06 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 3.054
     
Cotton 2018-05-18 86.5100
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-04-12 from 80.7650 to 81.8850 price 83.8400
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-05-17 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 84.9400
2018-04-25 Kumo Breakout (Golden X) Long at 83.8900
2018-04-25 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 83.8900
     
Gold 2018-05-18 1291.700
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-04-16 from 1328.400 to 1337.050 price 1350.700
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-04-30 Senkou Cross (2018-06-05) Short at 1316.200
2018-04-25 Kumo Breakout (2018-06-05) Short at 1321.200
2018-04-09 Kumo Breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 1340.100
     
OJuice 2018-05-18 166.6
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-04-12 from 142.0 to 144.5 price 139.9
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-04-26 Senkou Cross (2018-06-01) Long at 152.1
2018-04-17 Kumo Breakout (2018-06-01) Long at 145.6
2018-03-16 Senkou Cross (2018-04-24) Short at 138.3
     
Palladium 2018-05-18 961.0
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-04-18 from 994.2 to 1033.6 price 1027.8
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-05-18 Kumo Breakout (from falling Kumo) Short at 961.0
2018-05-10 Kumo Breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 992.8
2018-05-10 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 992.8
     
Silver 2018-05-18 16.465
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend
Kumo on 2018-04-18 from 16.456 to 16.897 price 17.231
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-05-15 Kumo Breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 16.194
2018-05-10 Kumo Breakout (from rising Kumo) Long at 16.680
2018-05-10 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 16.680
     
Soybeans 2018-05-18 998.0
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-04-16 from 1013.5 to 1044.1 price 1042.8
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-05-16 Senkou Cross (2018-06-21) Short at 1000.8
2018-05-11 Senkou Cross (2018-06-21) Short at 1002.0
2018-05-07 Senkou Cross (2018-06-12) Short at 1013.5
     
Sugar 2018-05-18 11.66
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-04-12 from 13.44 to 14.16 price 12.05
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-05-04 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 11.51
2018-02-27 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 13.01
2018-02-27 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 13.01
     
WTI 2018-05-18 71.380
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-04-16 from 61.385 to 62.365 price 66.220
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-04-09 Kumo Breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 63.420
2018-04-09 Kijun Cross (from falling Kumo) Long at 63.420
2018-04-06 Kumo Breakout (from falling Kumo) Short at 62.060
     
EURJPY 2018-05-18 130.380
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-04-12 from 132.107 to 133.435 price 132.310
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-05-14 Kumo Breakout (from falling Kumo) Short at 130.790
2018-05-09 Senkou Cross (from falling Kumo) Short at 130.050
2018-05-04 Kumo Breakout (from falling Kumo) Short at 130.510
     
EURUSD 2018-05-18 1.17710
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-04-18 from 1.22365 to 1.23455 price 1.23730
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-04-24 Senkou Cross (2018-05-25) Short at 1.22320
2018-04-22 Kumo Breakout (2018-05-25) Short at 1.22740
2018-04-19 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 1.23460
     

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