As usual the weather backcast contains the ichimoku analysis of 22 indices, futures and FOREX pairs. The linked charts contain all the details and neccessary context. Both charts and tables are generated automatically, at the moment the software is still work in progress. As such, I am not sure if it works 100% correctly, so if you see a mistake, would like to see an addition/change or simply give feedback: feel free to mail me at This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.Thanks a lot :)

Again due of a business trip here are the last 2 weeks together. The 18th and 19th week showed quite some activity: 34 signals in 14 different markets (out of 22 in the investment universe) were triggered:

If you would like to play around with the system that is used to generate the signals and charts on this blog, you can do so! The latest version of my software, ichinscratchy v0.3.0, was released in December 2017. It´s free & open source, you can find it under http://spare-time-trading.de/en/trading-system. Work on the next version (that will be a maintenance release) has already begun. You can check out the development activities at gitlab: https://gitlab.com/werwurm/ichi_reloaded.

Eurozone Indices followed their young uptrends, US ones seem they cautiously want to do the same. EUR/USD is a text-book example of trend-following behaviour in sideways markets: 7 false signals in a row that would have decimated cash, until the signal is triggered, that would have paid for all the losses (be sure to have a risk management that allows an overall-plus, too :))
Be sure to have a look at Cotton, Orange Juice and WTI every now and then, these markets are still in very strong trends. For all markets in the investment universe (especially for an intermarket analysis), as usual: check the charts and tables below!

All STRONG signals of the 18th week 2018, ordered by symbols:

+------------+-----------+---------------+-------+-------------------+--------------+
| date       | symbol    | name          | type  | amp_info          | price_quote  |
+------------+-----------+---------------+-------+-------------------+--------------+
| 2018-05-03 | BuFu      | Kumo breakout | long  | from falling Kumo |   159.260000 |
| 2018-05-01 | Coffee    | Kumo breakout | long  | from falling Kumo |   122.600000 |
| 2018-05-02 | Coffee    | Senkou Cross  | long  | 2018-06-06        |   121.600000 |
| 2018-05-04 | DAX       | Kumo breakout | long  | from falling Kumo | 12819.600000 |
| 2018-05-02 | DAX       | Kumo breakout | long  | from falling Kumo | 12802.250000 |
| 2018-05-02 | DJI       | Chikou Cross  | short | 2018-03-26        | 23924.980000 |
| 2018-05-02 | DJTransp  | Chikou Cross  | short | 2018-03-26        | 10285.900000 |
| 2018-05-04 | EURJPY    | Kumo breakout | short | from falling Kumo |   130.510000 |
| 2018-05-03 | EURJPY    | Chikou Cross  | short | 2018-03-28        |   130.910000 |
| 2018-04-30 | Gold      | Senkou Cross  | short | 2018-06-04        |  1316.200000 |
| 2018-05-02 | HSI       | Kumo breakout | short | from falling Kumo | 30723.900000 |
| 2018-05-02 | HSI       | Senkou Cross  | short | 2018-06-06        | 30723.900000 |
| 2018-05-04 | HSI       | Kijun Cross   | short | Death X           | 29926.500000 |
| 2018-05-01 | N225      | Kumo breakout | long  | from falling Kumo | 22508.000000 |
| 2018-05-01 | Palladium | Chikou Cross  | short | 2018-04-01        |   938.900000 |
| 2018-05-01 | Silver    | Senkou Cross  | short | 2018-06-04        |    16.039000 |
| 2018-04-30 | Soybeans  | Senkou Cross  | long  | 2018-06-03        |  1049.000000 |
| 2018-05-04 | Sugar     | Kijun Cross   | short | Death X           |    11.510000 |
+------------+-----------+---------------+-------+-------------------+--------------+

All STRONG signals of the 19th week:

+------------+-----------+--------------------+-------+-------------------+--------------+
| date       | symbol    | name               | type  | amp_info          | price_quote  |
+------------+-----------+--------------------+-------+-------------------+--------------+
| 2018-05-11 | Coffee    | Kumo breakout      | short | from falling Kumo |   115.250000 |
| 2018-05-11 | Coffee    | Kijun Cross        | short | Death X           |   115.250000 |
| 2018-05-11 | Coffee    | Chikou Cross       | short | 2018-04-05        |   115.250000 |
| 2018-05-10 | DJTransp  | Kumo breakout      | long  | from falling Kumo | 10605.800000 |
| 2018-05-09 | EURJPY    | Senkou Cross       | short | 2018-06-13        |   130.050000 |
| 2018-05-10 | Palladium | Kumo breakout      | long  | from falling Kumo |   992.800000 |
| 2018-05-10 | Palladium | Kijun Cross        | long  | Golden X          |   992.800000 |
| 2018-05-10 | Silver    | Kumo breakout      | long  | from falling Kumo |    16.680000 |
| 2018-05-10 | Silver    | Kijun Cross        | long  | Golden X          |    16.680000 |
| 2018-05-07 | Soybeans  | Kijun Cross        | short | Death X           |  1013.500000 |
| 2018-05-07 | Soybeans  | Senkou Cross       | short | 2018-06-11        |  1013.500000 |
| 2018-05-07 | Soybeans  | Kumo breakout      | short | from rising Kumo  |  1013.500000 |
| 2018-05-11 | Soybeans  | Senkou Cross       | short | 2018-06-17        |  1002.000000 |
| 2018-05-10 | SPX       | Kumo breakout      | long  | from falling Kumo |  2723.070000 |
| 2018-05-08 | SPX       | Tenkan/Kijun Cross | short | Death X           |  2671.920000 |
+------------+-----------+--------------------+-------+-------------------+--------------+
Below is the gallery for the charts:

  • BuFu_lightBuFu_light
  • Cocoa_lightCocoa_light
  • Coffee_lightCoffee_light
  • Copper_lightCopper_light
  • Cotton_lightCotton_light
  • DAX_lightDAX_light
  • DJI_lightDJI_light
  • DJTransp_lightDJTransp_light
  • EURJPY_lightEURJPY_light
  • EURUSD_lightEURUSD_light
  • Gold_lightGold_light
  • HSI_lightHSI_light
  • N225_lightN225_light
  • OJuice_lightOJuice_light
  • Palladium_lightPalladium_light
  • SMI_lightSMI_light
  • SPX_lightSPX_light
  • STOXX50E_lightSTOXX50E_light
  • Silver_lightSilver_light
  • Soybeans_lightSoybeans_light
  • Sugar_lightSugar_light
  • WTI_lightWTI_light

Simple Image Gallery Extended

If you downloaded my software and wonder about the system settings, a quick overview for the most relevant ones used for this weekly overview:

  • Ichimoku time period settings are standard (9,26,52), only strong signals are shown.
  • ICHI_CHIKOU_CONFIRM = true (Chikou Span is used as confirmation/ filter for trend).
  • ICHI_KUMO_CONFIRM = false (Kumo breakouts have to be higher/lower than last reaction high/low to be valid)
  • SIGNAL_REGIME_FILTER = none (all market regime filters are off)
  • SIGNAL_EXECUTION_PYRAMID = full (use every signal even if it is already in portfolio)

Below as mentioned the list with the evaluation of the status quo using Ichimoku. The tables also list the last three Strong Ichimoku Signals.

Wish you relaxing Trading!

DAX 2018-05-11 13001.24
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-04-04 from 12547.20 to 12800.12 price 11957.90
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-05-04 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 12819.60
2018-05-02 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 12802.25
2018-03-23 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 11886.31
     
DJI 2018-05-11 24831.17
price in kumo --> sideways no trades
Chikou-Span at 24831.17 in kumo or between kumo and price
Kumo on 2018-04-05 from 24988.50 to 25066.93 price 24505.22
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-05-02 Chikou Cross (2018-03-26) Short at 23924.98
2018-04-24 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 24024.13
2018-04-13 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 24360.14
     
DJTransp 2018-05-11 10713.6
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-04-05 from 10571.3 to 10615.4 price 10453.7
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-05-10 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 10605.8
2018-05-02 Chikou Cross (2018-03-26) Short at 10285.9
2018-04-26 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Short at 10413.9
     
HSI 2018-05-11 31122.1
price in kumo --> sideways no trades
Chikou-Span above kumo at 31122.1
Kumo on 2018-04-03 from 30805.1 to 30809.5 price 30180.1
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-05-04 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 29926.5
2018-05-02 Senkou Cross (2018-06-06) Short at 30723.9
2018-05-02 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Short at 30723.9
     
N225 2018-05-11 22758.5
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-04-02 from 22045.6 to 22539.7 price 21388.6
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-05-01 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 22508.0
2018-04-02 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 21388.6
2018-03-23 Chikou Cross (2018-02-14) Short at 20617.9
     
STOXX50E 2018-05-11 3565.52
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-04-05 from 3444.59 to 3496.94 price 3429.95
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-04-26 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 3506.03
2018-04-23 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 3513.06
2018-03-22 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 3348.19
     
SMI 2018-05-11 8993.5
price in kumo --> sideways no trades
Chikou-Span at 8993.5 in kumo or between kumo and price
Kumo on 2018-04-03 from 9005.9 to 9140.2 price 8630.9
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-04-16 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 8726.5
2018-03-22 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 8637.9
2018-03-22 Chikou Cross (2018-02-14) Short at 8637.9
     
SPX 2018-05-11 2727.72
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-04-05 from 2702.78 to 2710.90 price 2662.84
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-05-10 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 2723.07
2018-05-08 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 2671.92
2018-04-24 Senkou Cross (2018-05-29) Short at 2634.56
     
BuFu 2018-05-11 158.85
price in kumo --> sideways no trades
Chikou-Span below kumo at 158.85
Kumo on 2018-04-04 from 158.87 to 160.52 price 159.47
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-05-03 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 159.26
2018-04-24 Senkou Cross (2018-05-30) Short at 157.76
2018-04-23 Chikou Cross (2018-03-14) Short at 157.80
     
Cocoa 2018-05-11 2802.50
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-04-05 from 2018.75 to 2098.75 price 2501.50
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-04-20 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 2729.00
2018-04-11 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 2539.00
2018-02-13 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 2049.50
     
Coffee 2018-05-11 115.250
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-04-05 from 120.562 to 123.925 price 117.550
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-05-11 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Short at 115.250
2018-05-11 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 115.250
2018-05-11 Chikou Cross (2018-04-05) Short at 115.250
     
Copper 2018-05-11 3.095
price in kumo --> sideways no trades
Chikou-Span at 3.095 in kumo or between kumo and price
Kumo on 2018-04-09 from 3.146 to 3.158 price 3.071
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-04-24 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 3.139
2018-04-06 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 3.054
2018-03-08 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 3.058
     
Cotton 2018-05-11 84.4800
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-04-05 from 78.7150 to 79.1525 price 82.6300
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-04-25 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Long at 83.8900
2018-04-25 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 83.8900
2018-04-12 Chikou Cross (2018-03-06) Long at 83.8400
     
Gold 2018-05-11 1318.200
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-04-09 from 1328.625 to 1337.050 price 1340.100
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-04-30 Senkou Cross (2018-06-04) Short at 1316.200
2018-04-25 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Short at 1321.200
2018-04-09 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 1340.100
     
OJuice 2018-05-11 169.4
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-04-05 from 142.0 to 146.4 price 137.8
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-04-26 Senkou Cross (2018-05-31) Long at 152.1
2018-04-17 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Long at 145.6
2018-03-16 Senkou Cross (2018-04-24) Short at 138.3
     
Palladium 2018-05-11 986.7
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend
Kumo on 2018-04-11 from 1002.1 to 1043.3 price 957.1
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-05-10 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 992.8
2018-05-10 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 992.8
2018-05-01 Chikou Cross (2018-04-01) Short at 938.9
     
Silver 2018-05-11 16.676
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend
Kumo on 2018-04-11 from 16.485 to 16.897 price 16.675
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-05-10 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 16.680
2018-05-10 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 16.680
2018-05-06 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 16.535
     
Soybeans 2018-05-11 1002.0
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-04-09 from 1006.5 to 1031.0 price 1046.8
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-05-11 Senkou Cross (2018-06-17) Short at 1002.0
2018-05-07 Senkou Cross (2018-06-11) Short at 1013.5
2018-05-07 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 1013.5
     
Sugar 2018-05-11 11.22
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-04-05 from 13.43 to 14.16 price 12.35
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-05-04 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 11.51
2018-03-07 Chikou Cross (2018-01-29) Short at 12.79
2018-02-27 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 13.01
     
WTI 2018-05-11 70.700
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-04-09 from 61.960 to 62.365 price 63.420
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-04-09 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 63.420
2018-04-09 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 63.420
2018-04-06 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Short at 62.060
     
EURJPY 2018-05-11 130.660
price in kumo --> sideways no trades
Chikou-Span below kumo at 130.660
Kumo on 2018-04-05 from 132.688 to 133.785 price 131.440
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-05-09 Senkou Cross (2018-06-13) Short at 130.050
2018-05-04 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Short at 130.510
2018-05-03 Chikou Cross (2018-03-28) Short at 130.910
     
EURUSD 2018-05-11 1.19440
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-04-11 from 1.22365 to 1.23277 price 1.23670
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-04-24 Senkou Cross (2018-05-27) Short at 1.22320
2018-04-22 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 1.22740
2018-04-19 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 1.23460
     

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