As usual the weather backcast contains the ichimoku analysis of 22 indices, futures and FOREX pairs. The linked charts contain all the details and neccessary context. Both charts and tables are generated automatically, at the moment the software is still work in progress. As such, I am not sure if it works 100% correctly, so if you see a mistake, would like to see an addition/change or simply give feedback: feel free to mail me at This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.Thanks a lot :)

The 17h week brought a LOT of signals: 26 signals in 13 different markets (out of 22 in the investment universe) were triggered:

If you would like to play around with the system that is used to generate the signals and charts on this blog, you can do so! The latest version of my software, ichinscratchy v0.3.0, was released in December 2017. It´s free & open source, you can find it under http://spare-time-trading.de/en/trading-system. Work on the next version (that will be a maintenance release) has already begun. You can check out the development activities at gitlab: https://gitlab.com/werwurm/ichi_reloaded.

Despite the large number of signals, last week brought not too much changes compared to last weeks. Despite occasional signals, the direction of the major indices stays unclear. Nikkei is nearing the top of Kumo, if it can rise higher still has to be determined. EUR/USD finally left its sideways channel and entered a downtrend. Silver surprised me personally a lot, threw away all gains of the last weeks and fell back to the levels of the sideways channel. For all markets in the investment universe (especially for an intermarket analysis), as usual: check the charts and tables below!

All STRONG signals of the 17th week 2018, ordered by symbols:

+------------+-----------+---------------+-------+-------------------+--------------+
| date       | symbol    | name          | type  | amp_info          | price_quote  |
+------------+-----------+---------------+-------+-------------------+--------------+
| 2018-04-23 | BuFu      | Chikou Cross  | short | 2018-03-14        |   157.800000 |
| 2018-04-24 | BuFu      | Senkou Cross  | short | 2018-05-29        |   157.760000 |
| 2018-04-25 | Coffee    | Kijun Cross   | short | Death X           |   116.850000 |
| 2018-04-24 | Copper    | Kumo breakout | long  | from falling Kumo |     3.139000 |
| 2018-04-25 | Cotton    | Kumo breakout | long  | from rising Kumo  |    83.890000 |
| 2018-04-25 | Cotton    | Kijun Cross   | long  | Golden X          |    83.890000 |
| 2018-04-24 | DJI       | Kijun Cross   | short | Death X           | 24024.130000 |
| 2018-04-26 | DJTransp  | Kijun Cross   | short | Death X           | 10413.900000 |
| 2018-04-26 | DJTransp  | Kumo breakout | short | from falling Kumo | 10413.900000 |
| 2018-04-23 | DJTransp  | Kumo breakout | long  | from falling Kumo | 10621.200000 |
| 2018-04-24 | DJTransp  | Kijun Cross   | short | Death X           | 10400.100000 |
| 2018-04-24 | DJTransp  | Kumo breakout | short | from falling Kumo | 10400.100000 |
| 2018-04-24 | EURUSD    | Senkou Cross  | short | 2018-05-29        |     1.223200 |
| 2018-04-23 | EURUSD    | Kumo breakout | short | from rising Kumo  |     1.220900 |
| 2018-04-25 | Gold      | Kumo breakout | short | from falling Kumo |  1321.200000 |
| 2018-04-26 | OJuice    | Senkou Cross  | long  | 2018-05-31        |   152.100000 |
| 2018-04-27 | Palladium | Kijun Cross   | short | Death X           |   963.000000 |
| 2018-04-27 | Palladium | Chikou Cross  | short | 2018-03-27        |   963.000000 |
| 2018-04-24 | Palladium | Kijun Cross   | short | Death X           |   963.900000 |
| 2018-04-23 | Palladium | Kumo breakout | short | from falling Kumo |   975.300000 |
| 2018-04-27 | Soybeans  | Chikou Cross  | long  | 2018-03-22        |  1045.500000 |
| 2018-04-27 | Soybeans  | Kumo breakout | long  | from rising Kumo  |  1045.500000 |
| 2018-04-24 | SPX       | Kijun Cross   | short | Death X           |  2634.560000 |
| 2018-04-24 | SPX       | Senkou Cross  | short | 2018-05-29        |  2634.560000 |
| 2018-04-26 | STOXX50E  | Kumo breakout | long  | from falling Kumo |  3506.030000 |
| 2018-04-23 | STOXX50E  | Kumo breakout | long  | from falling Kumo |  3513.060000 |
+------------+-----------+---------------+-------+-------------------+--------------+
With spring knocking at the door, I switched the charts back to the light theme. Feel free to drop a comment or a mail :)

  • BuFu_lightBuFu_light
  • Cocoa_lightCocoa_light
  • Coffee_lightCoffee_light
  • Copper_lightCopper_light
  • Cotton_lightCotton_light
  • DAX_lightDAX_light
  • DJI_lightDJI_light
  • DJTransp_lightDJTransp_light
  • EURJPY_lightEURJPY_light
  • EURUSD_lightEURUSD_light
  • Gold_lightGold_light
  • HSI_lightHSI_light
  • N225_lightN225_light
  • OJuice_lightOJuice_light
  • Palladium_lightPalladium_light
  • SMI_lightSMI_light
  • SPX_lightSPX_light
  • STOXX50E_lightSTOXX50E_light
  • Silver_lightSilver_light
  • Soybeans_lightSoybeans_light
  • Sugar_lightSugar_light
  • WTI_lightWTI_light

Simple Image Gallery Extended

If you downloaded my software and wonder about the system settings, a quick overview for the most relevant ones used for this weekly overview:

  • Ichimoku time period settings are standard (9,26,52), only strong signals are shown.
  • ICHI_CHIKOU_CONFIRM = true (Chikou Span is used as confirmation/ filter for trend).
  • ICHI_KUMO_CONFIRM = false (Kumo breakouts have to be higher/lower than last reaction high/low to be valid)
  • SIGNAL_REGIME_FILTER = none (all market regime filters are off)
  • SIGNAL_EXECUTION_PYRAMID = full (use every signal even if it is already in portfolio)

Below as mentioned the list with the evaluation of the status quo using Ichimoku. The tables also list the last three Strong Ichimoku Signals.

Wish you relaxing Trading!

DAX 2018-04-27 12580.87
price in kumo --> sideways no trades
Chikou-Span at 12580.87 in kumo or between kumo and price
Kumo on 2018-03-20 from 12726.25 to 12800.12 price 12307.33
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-03-23 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 11886.31
2018-03-22 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 12100.08
2018-03-22 Chikou Cross (2018-02-14) Short at 12100.08
     
DJI 2018-04-27 24310.43
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-03-21 from 24918.83 to 24988.50 price 24682.31
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-04-24 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 24024.13
2018-04-13 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 24360.14
2018-04-11 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 24189.45
     
DJTransp 2018-04-27 10549.4
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend
Kumo on 2018-03-21 from 10507.8 to 10541.5 price 10657.7
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-04-26 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Short at 10413.9
2018-04-26 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 10413.9
2018-04-24 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Short at 10400.1
     
HSI 2018-04-27 30280.7
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-03-19 from 30809.5 to 31888.1 price 31513.8
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-04-16 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 30315.6
2018-04-06 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 29844.9
2018-03-21 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Long at 31414.5
     
N225 2018-04-27 22467.9
price in kumo --> sideways no trades
Chikou-Span at 22467.9 in kumo or between kumo and price
Kumo on 2018-03-22 from 22444.9 to 22604.0 price 21592.0
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-04-02 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 21388.6
2018-03-23 Chikou Cross (2018-02-14) Short at 20617.9
2018-03-19 Chikou Cross (2018-02-08) Short at 21480.9
     
STOXX50E 2018-04-27 3518.43
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-03-20 from 3484.19 to 3496.94 price 3412.08
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-04-26 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 3506.03
2018-04-23 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 3513.06
2018-03-22 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 3348.19
     
SMI 2018-04-27 8843.0
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-03-20 from 9098.7 to 9140.2 price 8847.3
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-04-16 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 8726.5
2018-03-22 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 8637.9
2018-03-22 Chikou Cross (2018-02-14) Short at 8637.9
     
SPX 2018-04-27 2669.91
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-03-21 from 2694.38 to 2702.78 price 2711.93
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-04-24 Senkou Cross (2018-05-29) Short at 2634.56
2018-04-24 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 2634.56
2018-04-19 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Short at 2693.13
     
BuFu 2018-04-27 158.66
price in kumo --> sideways no trades
Chikou-Span at 158.66 in kumo or between kumo and price
Kumo on 2018-03-20 from 158.97 to 160.59 price 158.06
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-04-24 Senkou Cross (2018-05-29) Short at 157.76
2018-04-23 Chikou Cross (2018-03-14) Short at 157.80
2018-04-16 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Short at 159.15
     
Cocoa 2018-04-27 2829.00
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-03-21 from 1961.75 to 2006.75 price 2540.50
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-04-20 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 2729.00
2018-04-11 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 2539.00
2018-02-13 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 2049.50
     
Coffee 2018-04-27 120.350
price in kumo --> sideways no trades
Chikou-Span at 120.350 in kumo or between kumo and price
Kumo on 2018-03-21 from 123.037 to 124.125 price 118.850
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-04-25 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 116.850
2018-03-28 Chikou Cross (2018-02-20) Short at 117.750
2018-03-15 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 117.650
     
Copper 2018-04-27 3.051
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend
Kumo on 2018-03-23 from 3.135 to 3.158 price 2.985
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-04-24 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 3.139
2018-04-06 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 3.054
2018-03-08 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 3.058
     
Cotton 2018-04-27 84.4400
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-03-21 from 77.8400 to 79.0175 price 82.7000
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-04-25 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Long at 83.8900
2018-04-25 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 83.8900
2018-04-12 Chikou Cross (2018-03-06) Long at 83.8400
     
Gold 2018-04-27 1324.400
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend
Kumo on 2018-03-23 from 1316.400 to 1339.275 price 1349.900
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-04-25 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Short at 1321.200
2018-04-09 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 1340.100
2018-04-03 Senkou Cross (2018-05-07) Long at 1337.300
     
OJuice 2018-04-27 153.7
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-03-21 from 145.0 to 148.8 price 137.1
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-04-26 Senkou Cross (2018-05-31) Long at 152.1
2018-04-17 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Long at 145.6
2018-03-16 Senkou Cross (2018-04-24) Short at 138.3
     
Palladium 2018-04-27 963.0
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-03-27 from 1022.8 to 1043.3 price 968.0
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-04-27 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 963.0
2018-04-27 Chikou Cross (2018-03-27) Short at 963.0
2018-04-24 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 963.9
     
Silver 2018-04-27 16.470
price in kumo --> sideways no trades
Chikou-Span below kumo at 16.470
Kumo on 2018-03-27 from 16.739 to 16.917 price 16.489
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-04-18 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 17.231
2018-04-12 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Short at 16.443
2018-04-12 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 16.443
     
Soybeans 2018-04-27 1045.5
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-03-22 from 984.5 to 990.3 price 1029.0
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-04-27 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Long at 1045.5
2018-04-27 Chikou Cross (2018-03-22) Long at 1045.5
2018-04-17 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Long at 1046.0
     
Sugar 2018-04-27 11.22
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-03-21 from 13.87 to 14.20 price 12.67
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-03-07 Chikou Cross (2018-01-29) Short at 12.79
2018-02-27 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 13.01
2018-02-27 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 13.01
     
WTI 2018-04-27 68.020
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-03-23 from 61.418 to 62.050 price 65.880
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-04-09 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 63.420
2018-04-09 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 63.420
2018-04-06 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Short at 62.060
     
EURJPY 2018-04-27 132.270
price in kumo --> sideways no trades
Chikou-Span at 132.270 in kumo or between kumo and price
Kumo on 2018-03-22 from 134.555 to 134.555 price 129.510
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-04-02 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 130.270
2018-03-27 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 130.660
2018-02-15 Senkou Cross (2018-03-23) Short at 132.720
     
EURUSD 2018-04-27 1.21310
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-03-27 from 1.21470 to 1.23782 price 1.24030
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-04-24 Senkou Cross (2018-05-29) Short at 1.22320
2018-04-23 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 1.22090
2018-04-19 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 1.23460
     

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