As usual the weather backcast contains the ichimoku analysis of 22 indices, futures and FOREX pairs. The linked charts contain all the details and neccessary context. Both charts and tables are generated automatically, at the moment the software is still work in progress. As such, I am not sure if it works 100% correctly, so if you see a mistake, would like to see an addition/change or simply give feedback: feel free to mail me at This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.Thanks a lot :)

The 14h week brought back some vola into the investment universe: 12 signals in 8 different markets (out of 22 in the investment universe) were generated:

If you would like to play around with the system that is used to generate the signals and charts on this blog, you can do so! The latest version of my software, ichinscratchy v0.3.0, was released in December 2017. It´s free & open source, you can find it under http://spare-time-trading.de/en/trading-system. Work on the next version (that will be a maintenance release) has already begun. You can check out the development activities at gitlab: https://gitlab.com/werwurm/ichi_reloaded.

Looking at major indices shows that they are still far in bearish territory. Just check the tables below, all indices are red, not a single one blue (the color I chose for neutral/sideways markets) or even green (uptrends). If you are able to trade the short side, these trends are well-established! Be careful with the two FOREX pairs in the investment universe: both are not trending at the moment (assuming the Ichimoku criteria for a trend and a daily timeframe). The same is true for Gold and Silver- the latter is trading in a sideways range since mid-February, generating a couple false signals. Thats what stop losses were invented for ;)
Palladium, Coffee and Sugar Futures are trending within downtrends, Palladium with strong momentum. For all markets in the investment universe (especially for an intermarket analysis), as usual: check the charts and tables below!

All STRONG signals of the 14th week 2018, ordered by symbols:

+------------+--------+--------------------+-------+-------------------+--------------+
| date       | symbol | name               | type  | amp_info          | price_quote  |
+------------+--------+--------------------+-------+-------------------+--------------+
| 2018-04-06 | Copper | Kijun Cross        | short | Death X           |     3.054000 |
| 2018-04-05 | Cotton | Kijun Cross        | long  | Golden X          |    82.630000 |
| 2018-04-06 | DJI    | Kijun Cross        | short | Death X           | 23932.760000 |
| 2018-04-02 | EURJPY | Kijun Cross        | short | Death X           |   130.270000 |
| 2018-04-03 | Gold   | Senkou Cross       | long  | 2018-05-08        |  1337.300000 |
| 2018-04-02 | Gold   | Kumo breakout      | long  | from rising Kumo  |  1346.900000 |
| 2018-04-02 | Gold   | Kijun Cross        | long  | Golden X          |  1346.900000 |
| 2018-04-06 | HSI    | Tenkan/Kijun Cross | short | Death X           | 29844.900000 |
| 2018-04-02 | N225   | Kijun Cross        | short | Death X           | 21388.600000 |
| 2018-04-03 | WTI    | Kijun Cross        | long  | Golden X          |    63.510000 |
| 2018-04-06 | WTI    | Kijun Cross        | short | Death X           |    62.060000 |
| 2018-04-06 | WTI    | Kumo breakout      | short | from falling Kumo |    62.060000 |
+------------+--------+--------------------+-------+-------------------+--------------+

With spring knocking at the door, I switched the charts back to the light them. Feel free to drop a comment or a mail :)

  • BuFu_lightBuFu_light
  • Cocoa_lightCocoa_light
  • Coffee_lightCoffee_light
  • Copper_lightCopper_light
  • Cotton_lightCotton_light
  • DAX_lightDAX_light
  • DJI_lightDJI_light
  • DJTransp_lightDJTransp_light
  • EURJPY_lightEURJPY_light
  • EURUSD_lightEURUSD_light
  • Gold_lightGold_light
  • HSI_lightHSI_light
  • N225_lightN225_light
  • OJuice_lightOJuice_light
  • Palladium_lightPalladium_light
  • SMI_lightSMI_light
  • SPX_lightSPX_light
  • STOXX50E_lightSTOXX50E_light
  • Silver_lightSilver_light
  • Soybeans_lightSoybeans_light
  • Sugar_lightSugar_light
  • WTI_lightWTI_light

Simple Image Gallery Extended

If you downloaded my software and wonder about the system settings, a quick overview for the most relevant ones used for this weekly overview:

  • Ichimoku time period settings are standard (9,26,52), only strong signals are shown.
  • ICHI_CHIKOU_CONFIRM = true (Chikou Span is used as confirmation/ filter for trend).
  • ICHI_KUMO_CONFIRM = false (Kumo breakouts have to be higher/lower than last reaction high/low to be valid)
  • SIGNAL_REGIME_FILTER = none (all market regime filters are off)
  • SIGNAL_EXECUTION_PYRAMID = full (use every signal even if it is already in portfolio)

Below as mentioned the list with the evaluation of the status quo using Ichimoku. The tables also list the last three Strong Ichimoku Signals.

Wish you relaxing Trading!

DAX 2018-04-06 12241.27
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-02-27 from 13135.36 to 13205.69 price 12490.73
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-03-23 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 11886.31
2018-03-22 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 12100.08
2018-03-22 Chikou Cross (2018-02-14) Short at 12100.08
     
DJI 2018-04-06 23932.76
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-02-28 from 24728.99 to 25549.03 price 25029.20
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-04-06 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 23932.76
2018-03-07 Senkou Cross (2018-04-12) Short at 24801.36
2018-03-06 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 24884.12
     
DJTransp 2018-04-06 10146.4
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-02-28 from 10422.0 to 11035.5 price 10382.0
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-03-22 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Short at 10353.5
2018-03-22 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 10353.5
2018-03-20 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Long at 10694.3
     
HSI 2018-04-06 29844.9
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-02-26 from 30059.2 to 30737.4 price 31498.6
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-04-06 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 29844.9
2018-03-21 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Long at 31414.5
2018-03-16 Chikou Cross (2018-02-06) Long at 31502.0
     
N225 2018-04-06 21567.5
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-02-28 from 23028.4 to 23558.8 price 22068.2
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-04-02 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 21388.6
2018-03-23 Chikou Cross (2018-02-14) Short at 20617.9
2018-03-19 Chikou Cross (2018-02-08) Short at 21480.9
     
STOXX50E 2018-04-06 3408.10
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-02-27 from 3582.27 to 3597.09 price 3458.03
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-03-22 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 3348.19
2018-03-22 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 3348.19
2018-03-22 Chikou Cross (2018-02-14) Short at 3348.19
     
SMI 2018-04-06 8671.0
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-02-27 from 9328.7 to 9479.0 price 8992.5
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-03-22 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 8637.9
2018-03-22 Chikou Cross (2018-02-14) Short at 8637.9
2018-03-15 Chikou Cross (2018-02-07) Short at 8879.0
     
SPX 2018-04-06 2604.47
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-02-28 from 2695.24 to 2763.53 price 2713.83
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-03-23 Senkou Cross (2018-04-30) Short at 2588.26
2018-03-22 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Short at 2643.69
2018-03-20 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 2716.94
     
BuFu 2018-04-06 159.50
price in kumo --> sideways no trades
Chikou-Span at 159.50 in kumo or between kumo and price
Kumo on 2018-02-27 from 161.36 to 162.01 price 159.20
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-03-09 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 156.98
2018-03-09 Chikou Cross (2018-02-01) Short at 156.98
2018-01-04 Senkou Cross (2018-02-09) Short at 161.59
     
Cocoa 2018-04-06 2451.00
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-02-28 from 1929.38 to 2020.50 price 2212.50
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-02-13 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 2049.50
2018-02-08 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 2028.50
2018-02-05 Senkou Cross (2018-03-14) Long at 2044.00
     
Coffee 2018-04-06 117.450
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-02-28 from 123.450 to 124.125 price 121.050
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-03-28 Chikou Cross (2018-02-20) Short at 117.750
2018-03-15 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 117.650
2018-03-02 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 120.350
     
Copper 2018-04-06 3.054
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-03-01 from 3.109 to 3.179 price 3.099
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-04-06 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 3.054
2018-03-08 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 3.058
2018-02-28 Senkou Cross (2018-04-05) Short at 3.107
     
Cotton 2018-04-06 82.6900
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend
Kumo on 2018-02-28 from 76.3350 to 80.0700 price 82.8800
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-04-05 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 82.6300
2018-03-05 Senkou Cross (2018-04-10) Long at 84.8600
2017-11-24 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 71.9400
     
Gold 2018-04-06 1336.100
price in kumo --> sideways no trades
Chikou-Span at 1336.100 in kumo or between kumo and price
Kumo on 2018-03-02 from 1304.400 to 1343.400 price 1323.400
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-04-03 Senkou Cross (2018-05-08) Long at 1337.300
2018-04-02 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Long at 1346.900
2018-04-02 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 1346.900
     
OJuice 2018-04-06 137.4
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-02-28 from 141.7 to 150.3 price 143.4
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-03-16 Senkou Cross (2018-04-23) Short at 138.3
2018-03-07 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Short at 141.6
2018-03-01 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Short at 138.4
     
Palladium 2018-04-06 898.5
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-03-06 from 1053.4 to 1066.8 price 979.0
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-03-15 Chikou Cross (2018-02-13) Short at 982.1
2018-03-01 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 985.8
2018-02-27 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 1034.4
     
Silver 2018-04-06 16.332
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-03-06 from 16.675 to 17.110 price 16.715
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-03-28 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 16.205
2018-03-16 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 16.202
2018-03-14 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 16.467
     
Soybeans 2018-04-06 1034.8
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend
Kumo on 2018-02-28 from 973.0 to 979.7 price 1055.0
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-02-06 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 987.0
2018-02-06 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 987.0
2018-01-30 Senkou Cross (2018-03-05) Long at 999.5
     
Sugar 2018-04-06 12.34
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-02-28 from 14.07 to 14.26 price 13.48
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-03-07 Chikou Cross (2018-01-29) Short at 12.79
2018-02-27 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 13.01
2018-02-27 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 13.01
     
WTI 2018-04-06 62.060
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend
Kumo on 2018-03-05 from 61.240 to 64.318 price 62.570
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-04-06 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Short at 62.060
2018-04-06 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 62.060
2018-04-03 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 63.510
     
EURJPY 2018-04-06 131.340
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend
Kumo on 2018-03-01 from 133.965 to 134.992 price 130.330
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-04-02 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 130.270
2018-03-27 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 130.660
2018-02-15 Senkou Cross (2018-03-23) Short at 132.720
     
EURUSD 2018-04-06 1.22830
price in kumo --> sideways no trades
Chikou-Span at 1.22830 in kumo or between kumo and price
Kumo on 2018-03-07 from 1.21275 to 1.22710 price 1.24130
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-03-26 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Long at 1.24430
2018-03-14 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 1.23670
2018-03-13 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 1.23900
     

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