Happy Easter holidays to all my readers!

As usual the weather backcast contains the ichimoku analysis of 22 indices, futures and FOREX pairs. The linked charts contain all the details and neccessary context. Both charts and tables are generated automatically, at the moment the software is still work in progress. As such, I am not sure if it works 100% correctly, so if you see a mistake, would like to see an addition/change or simply give feedback: feel free to mail me at This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.Thanks a lot :)

The 13h week continued somewhat more chilled, maybe due to the approaching Easter holidays: It triggered only 6 signals in 5 different markets (out of 22 in the investment universe):

If you would like to play around with the system that is used to generate the signals and charts on this blog, you can do so! The latest version of my software, ichinscratchy v0.3.0, was released in December 2017. It´s free & open source, you can find it under http://spare-time-trading.de/en/trading-system. Work on the next version (that will be a maintenance release) has already begun. You can check out the development activities at gitlab: https://gitlab.com/werwurm/ichi_reloaded.

No big changes this week, compared to the last. Most indices still in downtrends, the two FOREX pairs going sideways. Euro Bund Futures fought its way from a medium term downtrend back into Kumo. Still nothing to be too excited about, but an interesting rise though. A couple of the commodities are still within nice established trends. For all markets in the investment universe (especially for an intermarket analysis), as usual: check the charts and tables below!

All STRONG signals of the 13th week 2018, ordered by symbols:

+------------+--------+--------------------+-------+------------------+-------------+
| date       | symbol | name               | type  | amp_info         | price_quote |
+------------+--------+--------------------+-------+------------------+-------------+
| 2018-03-28 | Coffee | Chikou Cross       | short | 2018-02-20       |  117.750000 |
| 2018-03-27 | EURJPY | Kijun Cross        | short | Death X          |  130.660000 |
| 2018-03-26 | EURUSD | Kijun Cross        | long  | Golden X         |    1.244300 |
| 2018-03-26 | EURUSD | Tenkan/Kijun Cross | long  | Golden X         |    1.244300 |
| 2018-03-29 | Gold   | Kumo breakout      | short | from rising Kumo | 1322.800000 |
| 2018-03-28 | Silver | Kijun Cross        | short | Death X          |   16.205000 |
+------------+--------+--------------------+-------+------------------+-------------+

The gallery contains the dark theme charts. If you hate it, feel free to drop a comment or a mail :)

  • BuFu_contrastBuFu_contrast
  • Cocoa_contrastCocoa_contrast
  • Coffee_contrastCoffee_contrast
  • Copper_contrastCopper_contrast
  • Cotton_contrastCotton_contrast
  • DAX_contrastDAX_contrast
  • DJI_contrastDJI_contrast
  • DJTransp_contrastDJTransp_contrast
  • EURJPY_contrastEURJPY_contrast
  • EURUSD_contrastEURUSD_contrast
  • Gold_contrastGold_contrast
  • HSI_contrastHSI_contrast
  • N225_contrastN225_contrast
  • OJuice_contrastOJuice_contrast
  • Palladium_contrastPalladium_contrast
  • SMI_contrastSMI_contrast
  • SPX_contrastSPX_contrast
  • STOXX50E_contrastSTOXX50E_contrast
  • Silver_contrastSilver_contrast
  • Soybeans_contrastSoybeans_contrast
  • Sugar_contrastSugar_contrast
  • WTI_contrastWTI_contrast

Simple Image Gallery Extended

If you downloaded my software and wonder about the system settings, a quick overview for the most relevant ones used for this weekly overview:

  • Ichimoku time period settings are standard (9,26,52), only strong signals are shown.
  • ICHI_CHIKOU_CONFIRM = true (Chikou Span is used as confirmation/ filter for trend).
  • ICHI_KUMO_CONFIRM = false (Kumo breakouts have to be higher/lower than last reaction high/low to be valid)
  • SIGNAL_REGIME_FILTER = none (all market regime filters are off)
  • SIGNAL_EXECUTION_PYRAMID = full (use every signal even if it is already in portfolio)

Below as mentioned the list with the evaluation of the status quo using Ichimoku. The tables also list the last three Strong Ichimoku Signals.

Wish you relaxing Trading!

DAX 2018-03-29 12096.73
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-02-21 from 13135.36 to 13164.46 price 12470.49
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-03-23 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 11886.31
2018-03-22 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 12100.08
2018-03-22 Chikou Cross (2018-02-14) Short at 12100.08
     
DJI 2018-03-29 24103.11
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-02-21 from 24526.59 to 25115.95 price 24797.78
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-03-07 Senkou Cross (2018-04-12) Short at 24801.36
2018-03-06 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 24884.12
2018-03-01 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 24608.98
     
DJTransp 2018-03-29 10396.6
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend
Kumo on 2018-02-21 from 10400.2 to 10898.1 price 10372.1
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-03-22 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Short at 10353.5
2018-03-22 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 10353.5
2018-03-20 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Long at 10694.3
     
HSI 2018-03-29 30093.4
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend
Kumo on 2018-02-21 from 29773.7 to 30247.1 price 31431.9
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-03-21 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Long at 31414.5
2018-03-16 Chikou Cross (2018-02-06) Long at 31502.0
2018-03-05 Senkou Cross (2018-04-10) Short at 29886.4
     
N225 2018-03-30 21454.3
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-02-21 from 22884.2 to 23190.2 price 21970.8
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-03-23 Chikou Cross (2018-02-14) Short at 20617.9
2018-03-19 Chikou Cross (2018-02-08) Short at 21480.9
2018-02-06 Senkou Cross (2018-03-15) Short at 21610.2
     
STOXX50E 2018-03-29 3361.50
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-02-21 from 3567.04 to 3589.02 price 3430.16
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-03-22 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 3348.19
2018-03-22 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 3348.19
2018-03-22 Chikou Cross (2018-02-14) Short at 3348.19
     
SMI 2018-03-29 8741.0
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-02-21 from 9328.7 to 9475.4 price 8989.0
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-03-22 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 8637.9
2018-03-22 Chikou Cross (2018-02-14) Short at 8637.9
2018-03-15 Chikou Cross (2018-02-07) Short at 8879.0
     
SPX 2018-03-29 2640.87
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-02-21 from 2672.65 to 2720.70 price 2701.33
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-03-23 Senkou Cross (2018-04-30) Short at 2588.26
2018-03-22 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Short at 2643.69
2018-03-20 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 2716.94
     
BuFu 2018-03-29 159.43
price in kumo --> sideways no trades
Chikou-Span at 159.43 in kumo or between kumo and price
Kumo on 2018-02-21 from 161.54 to 162.01 price 158.51
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-03-09 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 156.98
2018-03-09 Chikou Cross (2018-02-01) Short at 156.98
2018-01-04 Senkou Cross (2018-02-09) Short at 161.59
     
Cocoa 2018-03-29 2556.50
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-02-21 from 1889.62 to 2020.50 price 2147.50
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-02-13 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 2049.50
2018-02-08 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 2028.50
2018-02-05 Senkou Cross (2018-03-14) Long at 2044.00
     
Coffee 2018-03-29 118.150
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend
Kumo on 2018-02-21 from 124.125 to 125.125 price 116.950
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-03-28 Chikou Cross (2018-02-20) Short at 117.750
2018-03-15 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 117.650
2018-03-02 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 120.350
     
Copper 2018-03-29 3.019
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-02-23 from 3.109 to 3.198 price 3.208
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-03-08 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 3.058
2018-02-28 Senkou Cross (2018-04-04) Short at 3.107
2018-02-28 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 3.107
     
Cotton 2018-03-29 81.5800
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-02-21 from 76.3100 to 79.6800 price 80.2900
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-03-05 Senkou Cross (2018-04-10) Long at 84.8600
2017-11-24 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 71.9400
2017-11-09 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 68.3400
     
Gold 2018-03-29 1322.800
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend
Kumo on 2018-02-25 from 1304.400 to 1335.750 price 1328.800
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-03-29 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 1322.800
2018-03-23 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Long at 1349.900
2018-03-23 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 1349.900
     
OJuice 2018-03-29 141.1
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-02-21 from 141.9 to 150.3 price 143.1
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-03-16 Senkou Cross (2018-04-23) Short at 138.3
2018-03-07 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Short at 141.6
2018-03-01 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Short at 138.4
     
Palladium 2018-03-29 948.3
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-02-27 from 1053.4 to 1092.2 price 1034.4
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-03-15 Chikou Cross (2018-02-13) Short at 982.1
2018-03-01 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 985.8
2018-02-27 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 1034.4
     
Silver 2018-03-29 16.223
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-02-27 from 16.675 to 17.216 price 16.346
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-03-28 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 16.205
2018-03-16 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 16.202
2018-03-14 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 16.467
     
Soybeans 2018-03-29 1044.8
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-02-21 from 963.7 to 979.7 price 1034.0
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-02-06 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 987.0
2018-02-06 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 987.0
2018-01-30 Senkou Cross (2018-03-05) Long at 999.5
     
Sugar 2018-03-29 12.35
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-02-21 from 14.57 to 14.59 price 13.38
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-03-07 Chikou Cross (2018-01-29) Short at 12.79
2018-02-27 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 13.01
2018-02-27 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 13.01
     
WTI 2018-03-29 64.940
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-02-26 from 61.240 to 63.875 price 63.910
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-03-21 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 65.170
2018-03-21 Senkou Cross (2018-04-25) Long at 65.170
2018-03-20 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 63.400
     
EURJPY 2018-03-30 130.960
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-02-22 from 133.965 to 134.660 price 131.630
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-03-27 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 130.660
2018-02-15 Senkou Cross (2018-03-23) Short at 132.720
2018-02-08 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 133.180
     
EURUSD 2018-03-30 1.23230
price in kumo --> sideways no trades
Chikou-Span at 1.23230 in kumo or between kumo and price
Kumo on 2018-02-22 from 1.19920 to 1.20752 price 1.23310
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-03-26 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 1.24430
2018-03-26 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 1.24430
2018-03-19 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Long at 1.23350
     

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