As usual the weather backcast contains the ichimoku analysis of 22 indices, futures and FOREX pairs. The linked charts contain all the details and neccessary context. Both charts and tables are generated automatically, at the moment the software is still work in progress. As such, I am not sure if it works 100% correctly, so if you see a mistake, would like to see an addition/change or simply give feedback: feel free to mail me at This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.Thanks a lot :)

The 9th week triggered some signals on the short side. It brought brought 15 signals in 9 different markets (out of 22 in the investment universe):

If you would like to play around with the system that is used to generate the signals and charts on this blog, you can do so! The latest version of my software, ichinscratchy v0.3.0, was released in December 2017. It´s free & open source, you can find it under http://spare-time-trading.de/en/trading-system. Work on the next version (that will be a maintenance release) has already begun. You can check out the development activities at gitlab: https://gitlab.com/werwurm/ichi_reloaded.

Looking at the signal table below, it is clear that the relatively high number of signals is somewhat deceiving. There are a lot of double or even triple signals that occured at the same day. Also note alittle bias: all 15 signals are short ones! The indices in the investment universe now decided to switch to (at the moment short term) bear mode. EUR/JPY also established a down-trend, while EUR/USD at the moment struggles with kumo, so no clear trend is established. For all markets in the investment universe (especially for an intermarket analysis), as usual: check the charts and tables below!

All STRONG signals of the 9th week 2018, ordered by symbols:

+------------+-----------+--------------------+-------+-------------------+----------+
| date       | symbol    | name               | type  | amp_info          | price    |
+------------+-----------+--------------------+-------+-------------------+----------+
| 2018-03-02 | Coffee    | Kijun Cross        | short | Death X           |   120.35 |
| 2018-02-28 | Copper    | Kijun Cross        | short | Death X           |    3.107 |
| 2018-02-28 | Copper    | Kumo breakout      | short | from rising Kumo  |    3.107 |
| 2018-02-28 | Copper    | Senkou Cross       | short | 2018-04-04        |    3.107 |
| 2018-03-01 | DJI       | Kumo breakout      | short | from rising Kumo  | 24608.98 |
| 2018-03-01 | DJI       | Kijun Cross        | short | Death X           | 24608.98 |
| 2018-02-28 | DJTransp  | Kumo breakout      | short | from rising Kumo  |    10382 |
| 2018-03-01 | OJuice    | Kumo breakout      | short | from falling Kumo |    138.4 |
| 2018-03-01 | Palladium | Kijun Cross        | short | Death X           |    985.8 |
| 2018-02-27 | Palladium | Kumo breakout      | short | from rising Kumo  |   1034.4 |
| 2018-03-01 | SPX       | Kijun Cross        | short | Death X           |  2677.67 |
| 2018-03-01 | SPX       | Kumo breakout      | short | from rising Kumo  |  2677.67 |
| 2018-02-27 | Sugar     | Tenkan/Kijun Cross | short | Death X           |    13.01 |
| 2018-02-27 | Sugar     | Kijun Cross        | short | Death X           |    13.01 |
| 2018-03-01 | WTI       | Kumo breakout      | short | from rising Kumo  |    60.99 |
+------------+-----------+--------------------+-------+-------------------+----------+

The gallery contains the dark theme charts. If you hate it, feel free to drop a comment or a mail :)

  • BuFu_contrastBuFu_contrast
  • Cocoa_contrastCocoa_contrast
  • Coffee_contrastCoffee_contrast
  • Copper_contrastCopper_contrast
  • Cotton_contrastCotton_contrast
  • DAX_contrastDAX_contrast
  • DJI_contrastDJI_contrast
  • DJTransp_contrastDJTransp_contrast
  • EURJPY_contrastEURJPY_contrast
  • EURUSD_contrastEURUSD_contrast
  • Gold_contrastGold_contrast
  • HSI_contrastHSI_contrast
  • N225_contrastN225_contrast
  • OJuice_contrastOJuice_contrast
  • Palladium_contrastPalladium_contrast
  • SMI_contrastSMI_contrast
  • SPX_contrastSPX_contrast
  • STOXX50E_contrastSTOXX50E_contrast
  • Silver_contrastSilver_contrast
  • Soybeans_contrastSoybeans_contrast
  • Sugar_contrastSugar_contrast
  • WTI_contrastWTI_contrast

Simple Image Gallery Extended

If you downloaded my software and wonder about the system settings, a quick overview for the most relevant ones used for this weekly overview:

  • Ichimoku time period settings are standard (9,26,52), only strong signals are shown.
  • ICHI_CHIKOU_CONFIRM = true (Chikou Span is used as confirmation/ filter for trend).
  • ICHI_KUMO_CONFIRM = false (Kumo breakouts have to be higher/lower than last reaction high/low to be valid)
  • SIGNAL_REGIME_FILTER = none (all market regime filters are off)
  • SIGNAL_EXECUTION_PYRAMID = full (use every signal even if it is already in portfolio)

Below as mentioned the list with the evaluation of the status quo using Ichimoku. The tables also list the last three Strong Ichimoku Signals.

Wish you relaxing Trading!

DAX 2018-03-02 11913.71
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-01-25 from 13039.16 to 13167.84 price 13298.36
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-02-05 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 12687.49
2018-02-05 Senkou Cross (2018-03-12) Short at 12687.49
2018-02-01 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Short at 13003.90
     
DJI 2018-03-02 24538.06
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend
Kumo on 2018-01-24 from 23617.69 to 24172.24 price 26252.12
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-03-01 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 24608.98
2018-03-01 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 24608.98
2018-02-08 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 23860.46
     
DJTransp 2018-03-02 10333.0
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend
Kumo on 2018-01-24 from 9962.5 to 10152.0 price 11184.4
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-02-28 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 10382.0
2018-02-20 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 10340.6
2017-11-29 Senkou Cross (2018-01-08) Long at 10076.4
     
HSI 2018-03-02 30583.4
price in kumo --> sideways no trades
Chikou-Span at 30583.4 in kumo or between kumo and price
Kumo on 2018-01-23 from 28791.4 to 28953.9 price 32930.7
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-02-21 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 31431.9
2018-02-21 Chikou Cross (2018-01-12) Long at 31431.9
2018-02-15 Chikou Cross (2018-01-10) Long at 31115.4
     
N225 2018-03-02 21181.6
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-01-24 from 21910.2 to 22617.0 price 23940.8
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-02-06 Senkou Cross (2018-03-14) Short at 21610.2
2018-02-06 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 21610.2
2018-02-01 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 23486.1
     
STOXX50E 2018-03-02 3324.75
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-01-25 from 3570.83 to 3614.08 price 3630.15
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-02-05 Senkou Cross (2018-03-12) Short at 3478.77
2018-02-02 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Short at 3523.28
2018-01-18 Senkou Cross (2018-02-23) Long at 3620.91
     
SMI 2018-03-02 8628.5
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-01-25 from 9231.0 to 9273.1 price 9483.0
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-02-06 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 8836.7
2018-02-06 Senkou Cross (2018-03-13) Short at 8836.7
2018-02-02 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 9220.7
     
SPX 2018-03-02 2691.25
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend
Kumo on 2018-01-24 from 2600.36 to 2631.49 price 2837.54
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-03-01 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 2677.67
2018-03-01 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 2677.67
2018-02-08 Senkou Cross (2018-03-18) Short at 2581.00
     
BuFu 2018-03-02 159.77
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-01-25 from 162.26 to 163.16 price 160.05
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-01-04 Senkou Cross (2018-02-09) Short at 161.59
2017-12-01 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 163.80
2017-11-27 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 163.11
     
Cocoa 2018-03-02 2326.50
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-01-24 from 1995.12 to 2044.50 price 1951.50
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-02-13 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 2049.50
2018-02-08 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 2028.50
2018-02-05 Senkou Cross (2018-03-13) Long at 2044.00
     
Coffee 2018-03-02 120.350
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-01-24 from 123.553 to 125.515 price 122.500
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-03-02 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 120.350
2018-02-15 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 121.750
2018-02-07 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Short at 123.300
     
Copper 2018-03-02 3.101
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-01-31 from 3.109 to 3.151 price 3.184
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-02-28 Senkou Cross (2018-04-04) Short at 3.107
2018-02-28 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 3.107
2018-02-28 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 3.107
     
Cotton 2018-03-02 82.1500
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend
Kumo on 2018-01-24 from 71.1950 to 72.8200 price 82.3100
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2017-11-24 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 71.9400
2017-11-09 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 68.3400
2017-11-01 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 68.2800
     
Gold 2018-03-02 1323.400
price in kumo --> sideways no trades
Chikou-Span at 1323.400 in kumo or between kumo and price
Kumo on 2018-01-31 from 1274.050 to 1280.575 price 1343.100
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-02-14 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 1358.000
2018-02-14 Chikou Cross (2018-01-15) Long at 1358.000
2017-12-27 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 1291.400
     
OJuice 2018-03-02 138.1
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-01-24 from 156.1 to 157.6 price 147.9
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-03-01 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Short at 138.4
2018-02-16 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 151.2
2017-12-14 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 146.9
     
Palladium 2018-03-02 987.0
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-01-31 from 1013.8 to 1029.4 price 1028.5
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-03-01 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 985.8
2018-02-27 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 1034.4
2018-02-19 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 1028.2
     
Silver 2018-03-02 16.392
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-01-31 from 16.507 to 16.531 price 17.345
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-02-23 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 16.476
2018-02-20 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 16.425
2018-02-07 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 16.360
     
Soybeans 2018-03-02 1070.0
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-01-29 from 982.9 to 985.0 price 991.2
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-02-06 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 987.0
2018-02-06 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 987.0
2018-01-30 Senkou Cross (2018-03-04) Long at 999.5
     
Sugar 2018-03-02 13.42
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend
Kumo on 2018-01-24 from 14.51 to 14.59 price 13.16
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-02-27 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 13.01
2018-02-27 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 13.01
2018-01-16 Senkou Cross (2018-02-22) Short at 13.59
     
WTI 2018-03-02 61.250
price in kumo --> sideways no trades
Chikou-Span at 61.250 in kumo or between kumo and price
Kumo on 2018-01-31 from 57.200 to 58.570 price 64.730
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-03-01 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 60.990
2018-02-09 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 59.200
2017-12-26 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 59.970
     
EURJPY 2018-03-02 130.260
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-01-25 from 132.970 to 133.193 price 135.630
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-02-15 Senkou Cross (2018-03-22) Short at 132.720
2018-02-08 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 133.180
2018-02-06 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 135.610
     
EURUSD 2018-03-02 1.23170
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend
Kumo on 2018-01-25 from 1.17580 to 1.18240 price 1.23960
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2017-12-28 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 1.19430
2017-12-19 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 1.18400
2017-12-19 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 1.18400
     

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