As usual the weather backcast contains the ichimoku analysis of 22 indices, futures and FOREX pairs. The linked charts contain all the details and neccessary context. Both charts and tables are generated automatically, at the moment the software is still work in progress. As such, I am not sure if it works 100% correctly, so if you see a mistake, would like to see an addition/change or simply give feedback: feel free to mail me at This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.Thanks a lot :)

And week 8 passed us by. It brought brought 7 signals in 5 different markets (out of 22 in the investment universe):

If you would like to play around with the system that is used to generate the signals and charts on this blog, you can do so! The latest version of my software, ichinscratchy v0.3.0, was released in December 2017. It´s free & open source, you can find it under http://spare-time-trading.de/en/trading-system. Work on the next version (that will be a maintenance release) has already begun. You can check out the development activities at gitlab: https://gitlab.com/werwurm/ichi_reloaded.

When you look at the Copper Chart, I finally fixed the bug that made the charts look choppy for the last x weeks- actually it wasn't a bug, but a misconfiguration that was a leftover from testing the last release. Stupid me. And sorry for everyone that was wondering why the charts made not much sense at all. Looking at the markets, there was no big change: European indices in a downtrend (but somewhat stabilizing), US ones going sideways, the sole exception being Hang Seng with also triggered 2 signals past week. The music still plays within the commodity markets, so stay tuned :) For all markets in the investment universe (especially for an intermarket analysis), as usual: check the charts and tables below!

All STRONG signals of the 8th week 2018, ordered by symbols:

+------------+-----------+---------------+-------+------------------+---------+
| date       | symbol    | name          | type  | amp_info         | price   |
+------------+-----------+---------------+-------+------------------+---------+
| 2018-02-21 | Copper    | Kumo breakout | long  | from rising Kumo |   3.237 |
| 2018-02-20 | DJTransp  | Kumo breakout | short | from rising Kumo | 10340.6 |
| 2018-02-21 | HSI       | Chikou Cross  | long  | 2018-01-12       | 31431.9 |
| 2018-02-21 | HSI       | Kijun Cross   | long  | Golden X         | 31431.9 |
| 2018-02-19 | Palladium | Kijun Cross   | short | Death X          |  1028.2 |
| 2018-02-20 | Silver    | Kumo breakout | short | from rising Kumo |  16.425 |
| 2018-02-23 | Silver    | Kumo breakout | short | from rising Kumo |   16.49 |
+------------+-----------+---------------+-------+------------------+---------+
The gallery contains the dark theme charts. If you hate it, feel free to drop a comment or a mail :)

  • BuFu_contrastBuFu_contrast
  • Cocoa_contrastCocoa_contrast
  • Coffee_contrastCoffee_contrast
  • Copper_contrastCopper_contrast
  • Cotton_contrastCotton_contrast
  • DAX_contrastDAX_contrast
  • DJI_contrastDJI_contrast
  • DJTransp_contrastDJTransp_contrast
  • EURJPY_contrastEURJPY_contrast
  • EURUSD_contrastEURUSD_contrast
  • Gold_contrastGold_contrast
  • HSI_contrastHSI_contrast
  • N225_contrastN225_contrast
  • OJuice_contrastOJuice_contrast
  • Palladium_contrastPalladium_contrast
  • SMI_contrastSMI_contrast
  • SPX_contrastSPX_contrast
  • STOXX50E_contrastSTOXX50E_contrast
  • Silver_contrastSilver_contrast
  • Soybeans_contrastSoybeans_contrast
  • Sugar_contrastSugar_contrast
  • WTI_contrastWTI_contrast

Simple Image Gallery Extended

If you downloaded my software and wonder about the system settings, a quick overview for the most relevant ones used for this weekly overview:

  • Ichimoku time period settings are standard (9,26,52), only strong signals are shown.
  • ICHI_CHIKOU_CONFIRM = true (Chikou Span is used as confirmation/ filter for trend).
  • ICHI_KUMO_CONFIRM = false (Kumo breakouts have to be higher/lower than last reaction high/low to be valid)
  • SIGNAL_REGIME_FILTER = none (all market regime filters are off)
  • SIGNAL_EXECUTION_PYRAMID = full (use every signal even if it is already in portfolio)

Below as mentioned the list with the evaluation of the status quo using Ichimoku. The tables also list the last three Strong Ichimoku Signals.

Wish you relaxing Trading!

DAX 2018-02-23 12483.79
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-01-18 from 13038.71 to 13096.69 price 13281.43
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-02-05 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 12687.49
2018-02-05 Senkou Cross (2018-03-12) Short at 12687.49
2018-02-01 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Short at 13003.90
     
DJI 2018-02-23 25309.99
price in kumo --> sideways no trades
Chikou-Span at 25309.99 in kumo or between kumo and price
Kumo on 2018-01-17 from 23394.48 to 23963.96 price 26115.65
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-02-08 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 23860.46
2018-02-06 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Long at 24912.77
2018-02-02 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 25520.96
     
DJTransp 2018-02-23 10578.9
price in kumo --> sideways no trades
Chikou-Span at 10578.9 in kumo or between kumo and price
Kumo on 2018-01-17 from 9962.5 to 9998.8 price 11258.5
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-02-20 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 10340.6
2017-11-29 Senkou Cross (2018-01-08) Long at 10076.4
2017-11-29 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Long at 10076.4
     
HSI 2018-02-23 31267.2
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend
Kumo on 2018-01-16 from 28750.0 to 29115.2 price 31904.8
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-02-21 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 31431.9
2018-02-21 Chikou Cross (2018-01-12) Long at 31431.9
2018-02-15 Chikou Cross (2018-01-10) Long at 31115.4
     
N225 2018-02-23 21892.8
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend
Kumo on 2018-01-17 from 21797.9 to 22583.9 price 23868.3
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-02-06 Senkou Cross (2018-03-14) Short at 21610.2
2018-02-06 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 21610.2
2018-02-01 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 23486.1
     
STOXX50E 2018-02-23 3441.46
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-01-18 from 3589.61 to 3614.08 price 3620.91
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-02-05 Senkou Cross (2018-03-12) Short at 3478.77
2018-02-02 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Short at 3523.28
2018-01-18 Senkou Cross (2018-02-23) Long at 3620.91
     
SMI 2018-02-23 8948.2
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-01-18 from 9214.9 to 9257.0 price 9452.3
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-02-06 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 8836.7
2018-02-06 Senkou Cross (2018-03-13) Short at 8836.7
2018-02-02 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 9220.7
     
SPX 2018-02-23 2747.30
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend
Kumo on 2018-01-17 from 2580.16 to 2621.67 price 2802.56
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-02-08 Senkou Cross (2018-03-18) Short at 2581.00
2018-02-08 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 2581.00
2018-02-06 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Long at 2695.14
     
BuFu 2018-02-23 159.48
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-01-18 from 162.08 to 163.00 price 160.58
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-01-04 Senkou Cross (2018-02-09) Short at 161.59
2017-12-01 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 163.80
2017-11-27 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 163.11
     
Cocoa 2018-02-23 2203.00
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-01-17 from 2023.12 to 2052.50 price 1997.50
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-02-13 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 2049.50
2018-02-08 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 2028.50
2018-02-05 Senkou Cross (2018-03-13) Long at 2044.00
     
Coffee 2018-02-23 119.450
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-01-17 from 125.980 to 127.400 price 123.100
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-02-15 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 121.750
2018-02-07 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Short at 123.300
2018-02-05 Senkou Cross (2018-03-13) Short at 119.800
     
Copper 2018-02-23 3.208
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend
Kumo on 2018-01-24 from 3.061 to 3.075 price 3.208
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-02-22 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Long at 3.237
2018-02-15 Chikou Cross (2018-01-16) Long at 3.239
2018-02-07 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 3.076
     
Cotton 2018-02-23 81.4200
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend
Kumo on 2018-01-17 from 70.5500 to 71.8925 price 82.1000
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2017-11-24 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 71.9400
2017-11-09 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 68.3400
2017-11-01 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 68.2800
     
Gold 2018-02-23 1330.300
price in kumo --> sideways no trades
Chikou-Span at 1330.300 in kumo or between kumo and price
Kumo on 2018-01-24 from 1265.000 to 1268.650 price 1356.300
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-02-14 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 1358.000
2018-02-14 Chikou Cross (2018-01-15) Long at 1358.000
2017-12-27 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 1291.400
     
OJuice 2018-02-23 148.3
price in kumo --> sideways no trades
Chikou-Span at 148.3 in kumo or between kumo and price
Kumo on 2018-01-17 from 157.4 to 160.2 price 140.0
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-02-16 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 151.2
2017-12-14 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 146.9
2017-11-10 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 162.6
     
Palladium 2018-02-23 1040.7
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend
Kumo on 2018-01-24 from 991.5 to 1009.4 price 1102.4
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-02-19 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 1028.2
2018-02-06 Senkou Cross (2018-03-11) Short at 1009.3
2018-02-05 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 1017.3
     
Silver 2018-02-23 16.490
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend
Kumo on 2018-01-24 from 16.245 to 16.507 price 17.515
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-02-23 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 16.490
2018-02-20 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 16.425
2018-02-07 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 16.360
     
Soybeans 2018-02-23 1037.0
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-01-22 from 983.8 to 993.1 price 983.2
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-02-06 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 987.0
2018-02-06 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 987.0
2018-01-30 Senkou Cross (2018-03-04) Long at 999.5
     
Sugar 2018-02-23 13.68
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend
Kumo on 2018-01-17 from 14.25 to 14.83 price 13.42
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-01-16 Senkou Cross (2018-02-22) Short at 13.59
2018-01-11 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 14.18
2018-01-11 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 14.18
     
WTI 2018-02-23 63.550
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend
Kumo on 2018-01-24 from 55.300 to 57.365 price 65.610
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-02-09 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 59.200
2017-12-26 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 59.970
2017-12-19 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 57.460
     
EURJPY 2018-02-23 131.400
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-01-18 from 132.835 to 133.050 price 135.980
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-02-15 Senkou Cross (2018-03-22) Short at 132.720
2018-02-08 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 133.180
2018-02-06 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 135.610
     
EURUSD 2018-02-23 1.22930
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-01-18 from 1.17580 to 1.18180 price 1.22390
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2017-12-28 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 1.19430
2017-12-19 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 1.18400
2017-12-19 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 1.18400
     

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