When 2 weeks ago saw a firework of signals, last week did the H-bomb: 26 Signals in 14 different markets (out of 22 in the investment universe):

As usual the weather backcast contains the ichimoku analysis of 22 indices, futures and FOREX pairs. The linked charts contain all the details and neccessary context. Both charts and tables are generated automatically, at the moment the software is still work in progress. As such, I am not sure if it works 100% correctly, so if you see a mistake, would like to see an addition/change or simply give feedback: feel free to mail me at This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.Thanks a lot :)

If you would like to play around with the system that is used to generate the signals and charts on this blog, you can do so! The latest version of my software, ichinscratchy v0.3.0, was released in December 2017. It´s free & open source, you can find it under http://spare-time-trading.de/en/trading-system. You can check out the development activities at gitlab: https://gitlab.com/werwurm/ichi_reloaded.

First of all, I hope all of your accounts survived last two weeks. I for myself am currently experiencing a drawdown for sure, but thats what stop losses are for: get thrown out of markets with a small loss, being mad about it but still being able to play the game ;) Last week I somewhere read something like "current charts show clearly that bulls take the stairs, while bears the elevator"- which proves true if you look at the charts below. All indices in the investment universe made sharp corrections, accompanied by the two forex pairs. Most commodities are decoupled from that sharp moves, which once again shows the value of diversification of an investment universe. Just try to determine the current correllation of the stock markets alone... (message to myself: rethink the allocation algorithm of my system). For all markets in the investment universe (especially for an intermarket analysis), check the charts and tables below!

All STRONG signals of the months September '17 - January '18...errm no, all strong signals of the 6th week 2018, ordered by symbols:

+------------+-----------+--------------------+-------+-------------------+----------+
| date       | symbol    | name               | type  | amp_info          | price    |
+------------+-----------+--------------------+-------+-------------------+----------+
| 2018-02-05 | Cocoa     | Senkou Cross       | long  | 2018-03-12        |     2044 |
| 2018-02-08 | Cocoa     | Kumo breakout      | long  | from falling Kumo |   2028.5 |
| 2018-02-07 | Coffee    | Kumo breakout      | short | from falling Kumo |    123.3 |
| 2018-02-05 | Coffee    | Senkou Cross       | short | 2018-03-12        |    119.8 |
| 2018-02-07 | Copper    | Kumo breakout      | short | from rising Kumo  |      3.1 |
| 2018-02-05 | DAX       | Tenkan/Kijun Cross | short | Death X           | 12687.49 |
| 2018-02-05 | DAX       | Senkou Cross       | short | 2018-03-12        | 12687.49 |
| 2018-02-06 | DJI       | Kumo breakout      | long  | from rising Kumo  | 24912.77 |
| 2018-02-08 | DJI       | Kumo breakout      | short | from rising Kumo  | 23860.46 |
| 2018-02-06 | EURJPY    | Kijun Cross        | long  | Golden X          |   135.61 |
| 2018-02-06 | EURJPY    | Chikou Cross       | long  | 2018-01-01        |   135.61 |
| 2018-02-08 | EURJPY    | Kumo breakout      | short | from rising Kumo  |   133.18 |
| 2018-02-06 | N225      | Kumo breakout      | short | from rising Kumo  |  21610.2 |
| 2018-02-06 | N225      | Senkou Cross       | short | 2018-03-13        |  21610.2 |
| 2018-02-06 | Palladium | Senkou Cross       | short | 2018-03-13        |   1009.3 |
| 2018-02-05 | Palladium | Kumo breakout      | short | from rising Kumo  |   1017.3 |
| 2018-02-07 | Silver    | Kumo breakout      | short | from rising Kumo  |    16.36 |
| 2018-02-06 | SMI       | Tenkan/Kijun Cross | short | Death X           |   8836.7 |
| 2018-02-06 | SMI       | Senkou Cross       | short | 2018-03-13        |   8836.7 |
| 2018-02-06 | Soybeans  | Kumo breakout      | long  | from falling Kumo |      987 |
| 2018-02-06 | Soybeans  | Kijun Cross        | long  | Golden X          |      987 |
| 2018-02-06 | SPX       | Kumo breakout      | long  | from rising Kumo  |  2695.14 |
| 2018-02-08 | SPX       | Kumo breakout      | short | from rising Kumo  |     2581 |
| 2018-02-08 | SPX       | Senkou Cross       | short | 2018-03-15        |     2581 |
| 2018-02-05 | STOXX50E  | Senkou Cross       | short | 2018-03-12        |  3478.77 |
| 2018-02-09 | WTI       | Kumo breakout      | short | from rising Kumo  |     59.2 |
+------------+-----------+--------------------+-------+-------------------+----------+

The gallery contains the dark theme charts. If you hate it, feel free to drop a comment or a mail :)

  • BuFu_contrastBuFu_contrast
  • Cocoa_contrastCocoa_contrast
  • Coffee_contrastCoffee_contrast
  • Copper_contrastCopper_contrast
  • Cotton_contrastCotton_contrast
  • DAX_contrastDAX_contrast
  • DJI_contrastDJI_contrast
  • DJTransp_contrastDJTransp_contrast
  • EURJPY_contrastEURJPY_contrast
  • EURUSD_contrastEURUSD_contrast
  • Gold_contrastGold_contrast
  • HSI_contrastHSI_contrast
  • N225_contrastN225_contrast
  • OJuice_contrastOJuice_contrast
  • Palladium_contrastPalladium_contrast
  • SMI_contrastSMI_contrast
  • SPX_contrastSPX_contrast
  • STOXX50E_contrastSTOXX50E_contrast
  • Silver_contrastSilver_contrast
  • Soybeans_contrastSoybeans_contrast
  • Sugar_contrastSugar_contrast
  • WTI_contrastWTI_contrast

Simple Image Gallery Extended

If you downloaded my software and wonder about the system settings, a quick overview for the most relevant settings:

  • Ichimoku time period settings are standard (9,26,52), only strong signals are shown.
  • ICHI_CHIKOU_CONFIRM = true (Chikou Span is used as confirmation/ filter for trend).
  • ICHI_KUMO_CONFIRM = false (Kumo breakouts have to be higher/lower than last reaction high/low to be valid)
  • SIGNAL_REGIME_FILTER = none (all market regime filters are off)
  • SIGNAL_EXECUTION_PYRAMID = full (use every signal even if it is already in portfolio)

Below as mentioned the list with the evaluation of the status quo using Ichimoku. The tables also list the last three Strong Ichimoku Signals.

Wish you relaxing Trading!

DAX 2018-02-09 12107.48
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-01-04 from 13007.40 to 13107.58 price 13167.89
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-02-05 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 12687.49
2018-02-05 Senkou Cross (2018-03-12) Short at 12687.49
2018-02-01 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Short at 13003.90
     
DJI 2018-02-09 24190.90
price in kumo --> sideways no trades
Chikou-Span at 24190.90 in kumo or between kumo and price
Kumo on 2018-01-03 from 22856.79 to 23382.75 price 24922.68
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-02-08 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 23860.46
2018-02-06 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Long at 24912.77
2018-02-02 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 25520.96
     
DJTransp 2018-02-09 10136.6
price in kumo --> sideways no trades
Chikou-Span at 10136.6 in kumo or between kumo and price
Kumo on 2018-01-03 from 9626.2 to 9750.3 price 10820.7
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2017-11-29 Senkou Cross (2018-01-08) Long at 10076.4
2017-11-29 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Long at 10076.4
2017-11-29 Chikou Cross (2017-10-23) Long at 10076.4
     
HSI 2018-02-09 29507.4
price in kumo --> sideways no trades
Chikou-Span at 29507.4 in kumo or between kumo and price
Kumo on 2018-01-04 from 28750.0 to 29337.5 price 30736.5
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2017-12-27 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 29597.7
2017-12-22 Senkou Cross (2018-02-01) Long at 29578.0
2017-12-19 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 29253.7
     
N225 2018-02-09 21382.6
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2017-12-29 from 21584.9 to 22368.7 price 22764.9
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-02-06 Senkou Cross (2018-03-13) Short at 21610.2
2018-02-06 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 21610.2
2018-02-01 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 23486.1
     
STOXX50E 2018-02-09 3325.99
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-01-04 from 3587.17 to 3609.38 price 3568.88
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-02-05 Senkou Cross (2018-03-12) Short at 3478.77
2018-02-02 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Short at 3523.28
2018-01-18 Senkou Cross (2018-02-22) Long at 3620.91
     
SMI 2018-02-09 8682.0
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-01-04 from 9181.6 to 9203.6 price 9509.3
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-02-06 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 8836.7
2018-02-06 Senkou Cross (2018-03-13) Short at 8836.7
2018-02-02 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 9220.7
     
SPX 2018-02-09 2619.55
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend
Kumo on 2018-01-03 from 2546.12 to 2577.47 price 2713.06
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-02-08 Senkou Cross (2018-03-15) Short at 2581.00
2018-02-08 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 2581.00
2018-02-06 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Long at 2695.14
     
BuFu 2018-02-09 158.04
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-01-04 from 161.93 to 162.40 price 161.59
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-01-04 Senkou Cross (2018-02-09) Short at 161.59
2017-12-01 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 163.80
2017-11-27 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 163.11
     
Cocoa 2018-02-09 2031.00
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend
Kumo on 2018-01-03 from 2080.00 to 2145.75 price 1888.50
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-02-08 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 2028.50
2018-02-05 Senkou Cross (2018-03-12) Long at 2044.00
2018-02-01 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 2036.50
     
Coffee 2018-02-09 121.850
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-01-03 from 125.075 to 131.250 price 128.600
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-02-07 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Short at 123.300
2018-02-05 Senkou Cross (2018-03-12) Short at 119.800
2018-02-02 Chikou Cross (2017-12-26) Short at 120.400
     
Copper 2018-02-09 3.0
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend
Kumo on 2018-01-10 from 3.0 to 3.1 price 3.2
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-02-07 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 3.1
2018-01-24 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Long at 3.2
2018-01-24 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 3.2
     
Cotton 2018-02-09 76.7500
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend
Kumo on 2018-01-03 from 69.4500 to 69.8900 price 78.0900
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2017-11-24 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 71.9400
2017-11-09 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 68.3400
2017-11-01 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 68.2800
     
Gold 2018-02-09 1315.700
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend
Kumo on 2018-01-10 from 1271.000 to 1276.400 price 1319.300
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2017-12-27 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 1291.400
2017-12-07 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 1253.100
2017-12-05 Chikou Cross (2017-11-05) Short at 1264.900
     
OJuice 2018-02-09 147.6
price in kumo --> sideways no trades
Chikou-Span at 147.6 in kumo or between kumo and price
Kumo on 2018-01-03 from 155.5 to 161.5 price 139.5
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2017-12-14 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 146.9
2017-11-10 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 162.6
2017-11-03 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 156.7
     
Palladium 2018-02-09 973.4
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-01-10 from 976.0 to 998.5 price 1083.1
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-02-06 Senkou Cross (2018-03-13) Short at 1009.3
2018-02-05 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 1017.3
2017-12-14 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 1024.9
     
Silver 2018-02-09 16.310
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-01-10 from 16.388 to 16.575 price 17.015
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-02-07 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 16.360
2018-01-31 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 17.345
2017-12-25 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 16.390
     
Soybeans 2018-02-09 984.0
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend
Kumo on 2018-01-04 from 980.1 to 985.8 price 967.2
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-02-06 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 987.0
2018-02-06 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 987.0
2018-01-30 Senkou Cross (2018-03-05) Long at 999.5
     
Sugar 2018-02-09 13.67
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-01-03 from 14.25 to 14.89 price 15.31
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-01-16 Senkou Cross (2018-02-20) Short at 13.59
2018-01-11 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 14.18
2018-01-11 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 14.18
     
WTI 2018-02-09 59.200
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend
Kumo on 2018-01-10 from 54.075 to 57.140 price 63.570
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-02-09 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 59.200
2017-12-26 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 59.970
2017-12-19 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 57.460
     
EURJPY 2018-02-09 133.110
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend
Kumo on 2018-01-04 from 132.515 to 132.835 price 136.060
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-02-08 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 133.180
2018-02-06 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 135.610
2018-02-06 Chikou Cross (2018-01-01) Long at 135.610
     
EURUSD 2018-02-09 1.22350
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2018-01-04 from 1.17580 to 1.18218 price 1.20680
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2017-12-28 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 1.19430
2017-12-19 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 1.18400
2017-12-19 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 1.18400
     

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