Happy New Year 2018 everyone! While I was kind of lazy for the last 2 weeks, the markets were not. For the last week of 2017 and the first week of 2018 generated in sum 11 signals in 9 markets (out of 22):

As usual the weather backcast contains the ichimoku analysis of 22 indices, futures and FOREX pairs. The linked charts contain all the details and neccessary context. Both charts and tables are generated automatically, at the moment the software is still work in progress. As such, I am not sure if it works 100% correctly, so if you see a mistake, would like to see an addition/change or simply give feedback: feel free to mail me at This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.Thanks a lot :)

If you would like to play around with the system that is used to generate the signals and charts on this blog, you can do so! The latest version of my software, ichinscratchy v0.3.0, was released in December 2017. It´s free & open source, you can find it under http://spare-time-trading.de/en/trading-system. You can check out the development activities at gitlab: https://gitlab.com/werwurm/ichi_reloaded.

I wish you a relaxing and profitable 2018!

Around last 2 weeks usually the volume is pretty low, compared to the rest of the year. Also considering the limited number of trading days, all signals have to be taken with a grain of salt. However, all indices in the investment universe had some pretty strong moves on the long side. The two FOREX pairs also had an upmove, EUR/JPY this time breaking out of the sideways market. Gold: welcome back in long mode, Palladium also within a strong uptrend. If you follow the investment-related media, by now you should know that WTI is also in a pretty strong uptrend at the moment- last 2 weeks emphasized that. For the rest of the markets (especially when doing an intermarket analysis), check the tables and charts below.

All STRONG signals of the 52nd week 2017, ordered by symbols:

+------------+----------+--------------------+-------+------------+---------+
| date       | symbol   | name               | type  | amp_info   | price   |
+------------+----------+--------------------+-------+------------+---------+
| 2017-12-27 | Copper   | Senkou Cross       | long  | 2018-01-31 |     3.3 |
| 2017-12-28 | EURUSD   | Tenkan/Kijun Cross | long  | Golden X   |  1.1943 |
| 2017-12-27 | HSI      | Tenkan/Kijun Cross | long  | Golden X   | 29597.7 |
| 2017-12-25 | Silver   | Kijun Cross        | short | Death X    |   16.39 |
| 2017-12-28 | STOXX50E | Tenkan/Kijun Cross | short | Death X    | 3524.31 |
| 2017-12-28 | Sugar    | Chikou Cross       | long  | 2017-11-20 |      15 |
| 2017-12-26 | WTI      | Tenkan/Kijun Cross | long  | Golden X   |   59.97 |
+------------+----------+--------------------+-------+------------+---------+

All STRONG signals of the first week 2018, ordered by symbols:

+------------+--------+--------------------+-------+------------+----------+
| date       | symbol | name               | type  | amp_info   | price    |
+------------+--------+--------------------+-------+------------+----------+
| 2018-01-04 | BuFu   | Senkou Cross       | short | 2018-02-08 |   161.59 |
| 2018-01-04 | DAX    | Kijun Cross        | long  | Golden X   | 13167.89 |
| 2018-01-04 | DAX    | Tenkan/Kijun Cross | short | Death X    | 13167.89 |
| 2018-01-05 | Sugar  | Chikou Cross       | long  | 2017-11-28 |    15.09 |
+------------+--------+--------------------+-------+------------+----------+  

The gallery contains the dark theme charts. If you hate it, feel free to drop a comment or a mail :)

  • BuFu_contrastBuFu_contrast
  • Cocoa_contrastCocoa_contrast
  • Coffee_contrastCoffee_contrast
  • Copper_contrastCopper_contrast
  • Cotton_contrastCotton_contrast
  • DAX_contrastDAX_contrast
  • DJI_contrastDJI_contrast
  • DJTransp_contrastDJTransp_contrast
  • EURJPY_contrastEURJPY_contrast
  • EURUSD_contrastEURUSD_contrast
  • Gold_contrastGold_contrast
  • HSI_contrastHSI_contrast
  • N225_contrastN225_contrast
  • OJuice_contrastOJuice_contrast
  • Palladium_contrastPalladium_contrast
  • SMI_contrastSMI_contrast
  • SPX_contrastSPX_contrast
  • STOXX50E_contrastSTOXX50E_contrast
  • Silver_contrastSilver_contrast
  • Soybeans_contrastSoybeans_contrast
  • Sugar_contrastSugar_contrast
  • WTI_contrastWTI_contrast

Simple Image Gallery Extended

If you downloaded my software and wonder about the system settings, a quick overview for the most relevant settings:

  • Ichimoku time period settings are standard (9,26,52), only strong signals are shown.
  • ICHI_CHIKOU_CONFIRM = true (Chikou Span is used as confirmation/ filter for trend).
  • ICHI_KUMO_CONFIRM = true (Kumo breakouts have to be higher/lower than last reaction high/low to be valid)
  • SIGNAL_REGIME_FILTER = none (all market regime filters are off)
  • SIGNAL_EXECUTION_PYRAMID = full (use every signal even if it is already in portfolio)

Below as mentioned the list with the evaluation of the status quo using Ichimoku. The tables also list the last three Strong Ichimoku Signals.

Wish you relaxing Trading!

DAX 2018-01-05 13319.64
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2017-11-27 from 12481.80 to 12897.01 price 13000.20
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-01-04 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 13167.89
2018-01-04 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 13167.89
2017-09-18 Senkou Cross (2017-10-25) Long at 12559.39
     
DJI 2018-01-05 25291.53
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2017-11-28 from 22464.59 to 22910.80 price 23836.71
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2017-09-12 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 22118.86
2017-09-11 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 22057.37
2017-08-30 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 21892.43
     
DJTransp 2018-01-05 10911.7
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2017-11-28 from 9545.3 to 9854.6 price 9754.0
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2017-11-29 Senkou Cross (2018-01-07) Long at 10076.4
2017-11-29 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Long at 10076.4
2017-11-29 Chikou Cross (2017-10-23) Long at 10076.4
     
HSI 2018-01-05 30814.6
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2017-11-27 from 27831.2 to 28248.1 price 29686.2
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2017-12-27 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 29597.7
2017-12-22 Senkou Cross (2018-01-31) Long at 29578.0
2017-12-19 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 29253.7
     
N225 2018-01-05 23714.5
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2017-11-27 from 20371.7 to 20979.5 price 22496.0
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2017-12-18 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 22901.8
2017-12-18 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 22901.8
2017-12-08 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 22811.1
     
STOXX50E 2018-01-05 3604.61
price in kumo --> sideways no trades
Chikou-Span above kumo at 3604.61
Kumo on 2017-11-27 from 3494.77 to 3587.00 price 3564.02
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2017-12-28 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 3524.31
2017-12-20 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 3552.65
2017-09-13 Senkou Cross (2017-10-19) Long at 3523.14
     
SMI 2018-01-05 9557.0
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2017-11-24 from 9035.1 to 9215.1 price 9325.6
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2017-12-12 Chikou Cross (2017-11-06) Long at 9361.4
2017-11-28 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 9320.4
2017-11-21 Chikou Cross (2017-10-16) Long at 9324.5
     
SPX 2018-01-05 2743.08
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2017-11-28 from 2496.40 to 2545.94 price 2627.04
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2017-11-16 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 2585.64
2017-08-17 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 2430.01
2017-08-17 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 2430.01
     
BuFu 2018-01-05 161.61
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2017-11-27 from 161.73 to 163.04 price 163.11
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-01-04 Senkou Cross (2018-02-08) Short at 161.59
2017-12-01 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 163.80
2017-11-06 Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) Long at 163.14
     
Cocoa 2018-01-05 1893.00
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2017-11-28 from 1993.25 to 2069.50 price 2044.00
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2017-11-06 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 2118.50
2017-09-12 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 1999.00
2017-08-31 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 1966.00
     
Coffee 2018-01-05 128.380
price in kumo --> sideways no trades
Chikou-Span at 128.380 in kumo or between kumo and price
Kumo on 2017-11-28 from 130.012 to 133.200 price 127.450
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2017-12-13 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 120.080
2017-12-06 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 124.850
2017-12-05 Chikou Cross (2017-10-27) Short at 125.950
     
Copper 2018-01-05 3.2
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2017-12-04 from 3.1 to 3.1 price 3.1
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2017-12-27 Senkou Cross (2018-01-31) Long at 3.3
2017-12-05 Senkou Cross (2018-01-07) Short at 2.9
2017-12-04 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 3.1
     
Cotton 2018-01-05 77.9400
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2017-11-28 from 68.3825 to 71.2000 price 72.2300
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2017-11-09 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 68.3400
2017-11-01 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 68.2800
2017-10-26 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 68.1600
     
Gold 2018-01-05 1321.200
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2017-12-04 from 1280.075 to 1312.600 price 1277.700
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2017-12-07 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 1253.100
2017-12-05 Chikou Cross (2017-11-05) Short at 1264.900
2017-12-03 Chikou Cross (2017-11-02) Short at 1276.700
     
OJuice 2018-01-05 136.8
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2017-11-28 from 147.2 to 155.1 price 165.3
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2017-11-10 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 162.6
2017-11-03 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 156.7
2017-10-25 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 153.4
     
Palladium 2018-01-05 1086.0
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2017-12-04 from 953.8 to 968.6 price 991.4
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2017-12-14 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 1024.9
2017-12-11 Chikou Cross (2017-11-10) Long at 1000.7
2017-12-07 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 1006.5
     
Silver 2018-01-05 17.255
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend
Kumo on 2017-12-04 from 16.927 to 17.256 price 16.370
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2017-12-25 Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 16.390
2017-11-29 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) Short at 16.524
2017-11-29 Senkou Cross (2018-01-01) Short at 16.524
     
Soybeans 2018-01-05 969.8
price below kumo --> Downtrend Signal filter SHORT
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend
Kumo on 2017-11-28 from 960.2 to 980.2 price 992.9
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2017-12-18 Senkou Cross (2018-01-24) Short at 961.6
2017-12-15 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Short at 967.4
2017-12-01 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 994.4
     
Sugar 2018-01-05 15.09
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2017-11-28 from 13.75 to 13.98 price 15.04
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2018-01-05 Chikou Cross (2017-11-28) Long at 15.09
2017-12-28 Chikou Cross (2017-11-20) Long at 15.00
2017-12-13 Senkou Cross (2018-01-21) Short at 13.85
     
WTI 2018-01-05 61.560
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2017-12-04 from 50.670 to 53.042 price 57.470
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2017-12-26 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 59.970
2017-12-19 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 57.460
2017-12-14 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 57.040
     
EURJPY 2018-01-05 136.170
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2017-11-30 from 131.015 to 133.085 price 133.960
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2017-12-19 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 133.660
2017-12-07 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 133.130
2017-11-30 Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) Long at 133.960
     
EURUSD 2018-01-05 1.20400
price above kumo --> Uptrend Signal filter LONG
confirmed by Chikou-Span
Kumo on 2017-12-04 from 1.17173 to 1.18345 price 1.18660
Last 3 STRONG signals:
2017-12-28 Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 1.19430
2017-12-19 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 1.18400
2017-12-13 Kijun Cross (Golden X) Long at 1.18260
     

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